BOZmail – DECEMBER 2nd 2018

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2019 home of the BOZmail

 

Welcome to the trial month of the new BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet.

 

SUNDAY DECEMBER 2nd 2018

 

LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

 

LESS IS MORE: SUNDAY PLAY

1-25 CARLISLE

Buveur D’air was sensational in the Fighting Fifth. Forget about opposing him for the Champion Hurdle! Samcro will indeed need further but Elliot not promising it so he stays off my to follows this season. Looks like being saved for a chasing career. Does have a Gold Cup look about him.

You’d think I would be heading to Leicester who stage an LIM bonanza card on Sunday including the ultimate one horse race. I’ll leave the trade tipsters to work out the winner of that! I like it when they pick the fav in races and target those particular races. Both Timeform and the Racing Post picked the Henderson fav on Saturday allowing us to get an early lay on at around evens (I got 2.06) before the market caught up to my thinking. A TV interview with Nicholls sent Posh Trish crashing into fav. Exactly why I always post the night before to give us all chance to get on early when we are confident.

Slightly less confident about Sunday’s with Pearl Royale my preferred lay of the day having also seriously considered Trans Express in the 1-45 at Leicester.

Pearl Royale will prefer the distance over Ron’s Dream and Got Away who relish the stamina test. He is also a consistent sort but has to overcome the lack of a run that has blighted the form for a lot of this season so far and also hails from a yard and jockey very much on the cold list. Travels long distance for this Listed affair but same for all the field and Ron’s Dream is a much more likeable sort with plenty of wins at this level and best jockey on board. I’ll take that every time over the youngster who has yet to prove he is Listed class. Got away is good cover and Elusive Theatre – although held by Ron’s Dream – also in the mix coming over from Ireland and could cause an upset if the race plays to his strength.

Weather in Cumbria sure to make it a stamina test and that another reason for choosing this over Leicester. I can vouch for the weather here! Three that can beat Pearl Royale whereas we might be depending on Trans Express beating itself.

No back on Sunday though. Just a simple small lay to keep the profits accruing. Never keen to give back after a good day!

 

Recommendation:

0.2pt LAY on PEARL ROYALE

 

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STAGGERED ACCA RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 10 points

(remember that stake of successful first leg bet is always returned directly to bank and that stake for leg two is simply the winnings from leg one. So 0.45pts returned to bank which is retained at 10 points thanks to superb never say die from Redditch again for second time in a week!)

 

STAGGERED FOOTBALL ACCA for SATURDAY December 1st:

FIRST LEG:

Southern League Central Division:

Redditch to beat Kings Lynn @ 9/5 or better – 0.25 pts

Redditch-Kings Lynn draw @ 29/10 or better – 0.2 pts – WON

 

We will start the second leg – free bet – stage of the staggered acca with a stake of 0.33pts (Saturday’s winnings). Watch this space for the advice as it emerges. May be next Saturday’s Redditch match at St Neots but could also be something else that emerges sooner or something later if the St Neots fixture is deemed not weapons grade after careful study during the week.

 

Good Luck with your bets.

 

BOZ

 

The BOZmail golden rules:

 

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(that’s my job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a price. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges)

5/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been my mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year I pack in.

 

I play cautiously and strategically always with bank management also always in mind. The staggered acca is the attempt to win large from small stake. The LIM is the cashbuilder to gradually accumulate profit over a 12 month period.

 

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