BOZmail – 9th DECEMBER

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2019 home of the BOZmail

 

Welcome to the two week trial of the new BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet.

 

SUNDAY DECEMBER 9th 2018

 

LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

 

LESS IS MORE: SUNDAY PLAY

12-20 PUNCHESTOWN

Not a good Saturday with Redditch throwing a lead away and letting the free bet down. Most unexpected. Back to the drawing board with them.Post Mortem to follow. No luck in the Becher either but considering he was 150/1 on the exchanges, Just a Par acquitted himself ok to finish seventh of eighteen without ever really being on the pace. The National looks the plan for him again but he did lack that rocket up the arse that Jimmy gives them when he’s in the groove. Lodgey’s racing days behind him now and sad to see him ending with a fall. He’s been a grand servant to both the yard and The Bozmail.

And I got Lalor beat but backed the wrong to follow horse against him again. Diakali will go off my list after that but there was good ammunition for the future in that race. My Nicholls theory upheld again and Dynamite Dollars definitely looks the part to win us some serious moolah in the New Year. But a bit given back on Saturday which I never like but has to be endured. Bank management to the fore again on Sunday.

Back on the bike at Punchestown on Sunday with no LIM qualifiers in the UK and just Min or Ballyneety to take on in Ireland. I half fancy Shattered Love against Min but my winner picking not over firing at the moment so I’ll stick to what I’m better at and lay Ballyneety who could be an O’Brien improver but is a bit short for what he’s shown and up against a few with form that might derail him here.Count Simon is solid, I quite like the chance of outsider Rock Road if Hayes can get him out on the lead but Due Reward is probably the pick in the race and the one with the form to halt Ballyneety’s bid. De Bromhead has a pace horse in the race too and they look poised to play tactical to defeat the fav.

. Recommendation:

0.5pt LAY on BALLYNEETY

 

BLWM LIM strike rates:  LAYS: 7/8 = 87.5%

                                          BACKS: 1/6 = 16.66%

 

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STAGGERED ACCA RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 10 points

(remember that stake of successful first leg bet is always returned directly to bank and that stake for leg two is simply the winnings from leg one.)

 

STAGGERED FOOTBALL ACCA for SATURDAY December 8th:

SECOND LEG:

Southern League Central Division:

Redditch to beat ST NEOTS @ best price 7/5 with Bet Stars  – 0.33 pts – LOST

 

HOMEWORK HORSES FROM THE LOCAL TRACK for SATURDAY DECEMBER 8th:

1-30 AINTREE – JUST A PAR @ 33/1 – 0.25pt WIN – 7th

               HIGHLAND LODGE @ 18/1 – 0.1pt – FELL

 

Good Luck with your bets.

 

BOZ

 

The BOZmail golden rules:

 

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(that’s my job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a price. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges)

5/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been my mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year I pack in.

 

I play cautiously and strategically with bank management also always in mind. The staggered acca is the attempt to win large from small stake. The LIM is the cashbuilder to gradually accumulate profit over a 12 month period.

 

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