BOZmail 8th AUGUST

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet. 

SATURDAY AUGUST 8th  2020 

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Currently stands at : 21.4716 points (+1.4716 points)

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TENNIS & TO FOLLOW HORSE BACK/TRADE STARTING BANK = 8 points

Currently stands at : 14.4653 points (+6.4653 points)

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OCCASIONAL ACCA STARTING BANK = 5 points

Currently stands at : 4.705 points (-0.295 points)

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SPECIAL ROYAL ASCOT fixed odds bets = (-0.554 points)

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Post Lockdown Litmus Test Bozbets = (+0.085 points)

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Local Track Factor Section = (-0.53 points)

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BOZmail 2020 cycle PART ONE(1/2 – 31/5) overall profit  = +4.2876 points

                                      PART TWO(1/6 – 31/1 )  overall profit = +6.6429 points

                                          BOZmail 2020 overall score = +10.9305 points

PART ONE LIM 2020 Strike Rates: Lays: 25/41 = 60.97%  Backs: 9/29 = 31.03%

PART TWO LIM 2020 Strike rates: Lays 38/48 = 79.16%  Backs : 5/21 = 23.8%

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LESS IS MORE:

5-30 UTTOXETER

Real case of seconditis at Cartmel today with Lough Kent just nutted and Dee Star similarly unlucky but shortlist found us a 20/1 winner so off out celebrating for my daughter’s birthday tonight and not dwelling on the purge of the past couple of days. Beholden was a bugger but I shan’t make that mistake again and the gen from the track is that NH racing is gradually regaining some semblance and LIM can press on in this sphere with a degree of confidence. Let’s try taking on this Skelton shorty carrying his penalty with a Hobbs horse I do fancy and a fav as cover and see how it goes. I’m not dwelling on the rats who have deserted the ship and would like to thank all those who sent in support after yesterday’s rant. It is you I do the sheet for.

As I say, not much time to expand as I want to make sure this goes out. I may send an update in the morning if there’s more to say. For now…..

Recommendation: 

0.25pt LAY on LONGHOUSE SALE (around 2.9 and as short as you can get)

0.1pt BACK on LEAPAWAY (around 5.0)

LOCAL TRACK FACTOR PLAY at Cartmel on FRIDAY:

1-25 APTLY PUT @ 11/2 – 5th

2-00 LOUGH KENT @ 16/1 – 2nd

3-45 THE STEWARD @ 8/1 – 3rd

4-20 THINK AHEAD @ 14/1 – Unplaced

 Total spend = 0.34pts Return = 0.04pts . Loss = -0.3pts

LIM scores for August:

1st :  NO BET

2nd : +0.0886  (+0.0886) Lay @ 1.93 : Back @ 7.0

3rd:   +0.0245  (+0.1131) Lay @ 3.75

4th:   +0.385    (+0.4981) Lays @ 3.75 & 3.3 :Backs @ 15.0 & 3.75

5th:   +0.0671 (+0.5652) Lay @ 2.38 & 14.0 : Backs @ 19.0 & 4.0

6th:    NON RUNNER

7th:    +0.049  (+0.6142) Lay @ 4.4 : Back @ 7.0

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BOZmail 2020 – Horses to follow on the flat:

Muker – Entered for York ( Aug 20)

Malotru 

Ransom

Uncle Jumbo – Entered for York (Aug 20) & Doncaster (Sep 10)

On My Way 

Battleground – Entered for  Curragh (Aug 22&Sep13)

Royal Air Force – Entered in the 2021 Derby (June 5)

Alicestar

Custard The Dragon

BOZmail 2020 – NH Horses to follow (Part Two):

Check My Pulse 

Balagan 

Ashutor – Entered at Southwell (Aug 10)

Sangha River 

Captain Tom Cat – Entered at Uttoxeter (Aug 8)

Lord Condi 

Saint Sam (FR)

Rubytwo – Entered at Southwell (Aug 10)

Pisgah Pike

El Presente

Hiconic

Young Wolf

Sirobbie

Little Jessture

Soldier of Love 

Lady Bowes 

Captain Zebo

Defi Sacre

Sporting Press

Global Tour

Samsons Reach

Leoncavallo

NH HORSE TO TRADE ON SATURDAY(if you must):

7-30 UTTOXETER – Captain Tom Cat @ 4/6

After the way Beholden behaved, I’m giving this a swerve. Just a watch and see race.

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LIM Monthly Scores:

February: + 1.3496 points

March      : + 1.5866 points

UK RACING LOCKDOWN

April         : – 0.1733 points

May          : – 0.8359 points

UK RACING RESTARTED

June         : + 0.0428 points

July          : + 0.8046 points  (+2.7744points)

The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study and watching the markets develop also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill. Remember also that a lay price available at a significantly lower level than stated on the sheet offers opportunity to increase lay stake without increasing calculated safe lay liability. This can be a key profit optimising tool in the long term if your form study agrees with that published by The Boz.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections). 

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management always in mind.”  Boz 

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