BOZmail – 6th SEPTEMBER

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2019 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the new BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet. 

THE BOZmail @ Flushing Meadow

For the US OPEN WOMEN’S TENNIS

DAY TWELVE:

FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 6th  2019 

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Stands at 57.0715 points after month 9 (+37.0715 points profit)

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2019 BOZMAIL TENNIS WINNINGS:

Current Total      = +7.5813 points

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THE BOZ’s 2019 TO FOLLOW & TENNIS TRADES P/L:

Current Total      = +11.3767 points

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LESS IS MORE: FRIDAY PLAY

US OPEN SEMI FINAL

All the things I’ve been saying about Serena do apply here despite the way she looked against Qiang Wang and the back form she has with Svitolina who can just be expected to provide a stern hardcourt test if she moves Serena around and has boned up on her mental strength since the match up with Monfils. She’s fit and fancied and has that recent win over Serena under her belt. Now just a case of handling the Serena power and staying in there. Does have a chance. 

I come back to tennis after me and Otto were just plain wrong Thursday and the race had a very Septemberish feel to it. LIM does have history of finding September tough.

Recommendation:

0.5pt LAY on SERENA WILLIAMS (around 1.38 : no greater than 1.4)

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This month plays so far:

1st:    -0.24 (-0.24)  Lay @ 1.4 : Back @ 34.0  

2nd:   -0.25 (-0.49)  Back @ 2.2

3rd:    NO PLAY DAY 

4th:    +0.49 (+0.0) Lay @ 1.9  

5th:    -0.44 (-0.44) Lay @ 1.88    

BLWM LIM strike rates:  LAYS: 154/232 = 66.37% :   BACKS: 44/157 = 28.02%

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STAGGERED ACCA RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 10 points

Stands at 10 points.

THE FINAL 2019 Staggered  Acca number 18: 

So the final acca repaired damage only. I’ll take time out now to consider the next step and keep you all informed of decisions as they are made.

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US OPEN PORTFOLIO:

SERENA                                                   Current P/L = +0.6 points

REST OF THE FIELD                                                    = 0 points  

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SUMMER NH HORSES TO FOLLOW for TRADING or LIM PURPOSES:

Commodore Barry

Kaizer -Entered for Perth (Sep 9)

Caius Marcius 

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HORSES TO FOLLOW ON THE FLAT:

Eightsome Reel 

Raise You – Entered for Ascot (Oct 19)

Maydanny

Roseman – Entered for Ascot (Oct 19)

Light Up Our Stars 

Waldpfad – Entered in Haydock Sprint Cup (Sep 7) 

Miss Celestial – Entered at York (Sep 8) & Curragh (Sep 28)

Deirdre – Entered for Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown (Sep 14)&Ascot(Oct 19)

Piedita 

James Watt – Entered for Ayr Gold Cup (Sep 21)

Lord of the Lodge 

Mum’s Tipple – Entered for Doncaster (Sep 12) & (Sep 14)-Newbury (Sep 21)

TO FOLLOW/TRADE HORSES on THURSDAY:

4-40 SALISBURY – Light Up Our Stars @10/3

-Backed @ 8.0 before the off for 0.5pt. Hedged in running for 1pt at 2.0

P/L = 0.49pt

6-50 LINGFIELD – Lady Mascara @ 11/4

-Backed @ 4.5 early for 0.1pt and hedged @ 3.2 for same stake before the off.

P/L = 0.0pt

TO FOLLOW/TRADE HORSES on FRIDAY:

5-00 MUSSELBURGH – Kaizer @ 4/1 – 0.5pt

Usual advice of back at best price before the off and hedge at preferential in running when appropriate.

 Good Luck with your bets.

BOZ

The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. As from March 2019 onwards, advised not to take BETFAIR SP prices on lays following some adverse returns therein over the January/February period. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) within the published parameters when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections). 

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management also always in mind. The staggered acca is the attempt to win large from small stake. The LIM is the cashbuilder to gradually accumulate profit over a 12 month period.”  Boz 

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