BOZmail 6th JANUARY

JANUARY 2021 – 31 day extension to

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet

WEDNESDAY JANUARY 6th  2021

EXTENSION DAY 6:

6-45 KEMPTON

Not an obvious LIM race despite the runner qualification and Kempton not a track I often play at (unless I’m trading). Just not a track I find winners easily at and the shortlist is unreliable here too which I’m using as part of my rationale for the play here. The shortlist is keen on tissue fav Gulliver who is top rated and has course and distance form but a few negatives as well and although not mega confident, The Boz is gonna take him on. Held by main danger Aberama Gold on LTO form in a Listed race at Doncaster and whilst the switch to all weather throws a cloud over that, there is also an absence of previous run here for the Dalgleish horse to do collateral from. Even so, the negative for Gulliver is backed by another in O’Meara stable form which is barren at the moment. Dalgleish not a whole load better and you could argue for double lay the top two as the two outsiders Brian the Snail and Streamline can have cases made. The latter is the value with his Group race course and distance win LTO and that makes him third best in my book so 17/2 outsider of six is tempting. A year and a half off the track stays the hand although trainer Clive Cox is perhaps not one you would worry about so much with a lay off like that. His ability to bring sprinters back is well known.

Brian the Snail also has good course and distance form and is fourth in my book but is held by Aberama Gold who gave weight and a beating last time they met albeit not here again and some might say Brian could turn that round on this track.

So a devilish conundrum for me race read wise and when that occurs you know the mantra is take the value. With bank management also in mind I go minimum lay on the tissue fav Gulliver.

Recommendation:

0.1pt LAY on GULLIVER (around 3.3)

BOZmail 2020 cycle : 2020 overall score = +59.2006points

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Currently stands at : 33.6115 points (+13.6115 points)

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LESS IS MORE

LIM 2020 Strike rates: Lays 130/186 = 69.89%  Backs : 37/118 = 31.35%

LIM Monthly Scores:

February: + 1.3496 points

March  : + 1.5866 points

UK RACING LOCKDOWN

April     : – 0.1733 points

May      : – 0.8359 points

UK RACING RESTARTED

June     : + 0.0428 points

July      : + 0.8046 points 

August :  +1.9726 points   (+4.747 points)

September : +1.0071 points (+5.7541 points)

October : + 2.1487 points (+7.9028 points)

November : +4.468 points (+12.3708 points)

December :  +0.8487 points (+13.2195 points)

January LIM Score:

1st:      +0.098 (+0.098) Lay @ 2.75

2nd:     +0.049 (+0.147) Lay @ 2.5 : Back @ 7.0

3rd:      +0.098 (+0.245) Lay @ 2.3

4th:      +0.147 (+0.392) Lay @ 2.6

5th:      NO BET

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