BOZmail – 6th APRIL

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet. 

MONDAY APRIL 6th  2020 

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Currently standing at 22.9362 points (temporarily suspended)

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TENNIS & TO FOLLOW HORSE BACK/TRADE STARTING BANK = 8 points

Currently standing at 10.4606 points

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OCCASIONAL ACCA STARTING BANK = 5 points

Currently standing at 4.90 points

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BOZmail 2020 cycle current overall profit = +5.2968 points

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LESS IS MORE: (temporarily suspended)

LIM 2020 Strike Rates: Lays: 23/36 = 63.88%  Backs: 9/26 = 34.61%

MONDAY play in Crisis Corner

22-15 WILL ROGERS DOWNS

By a process of elimination, I’ve worked out that my ill health is not down to coronavirus (mainly because if it was I’d be dead by now!) and I have written a couple of scathing anecdotes for the press due to be published this week as the shit finally hits the fan in the UK and we pay for the gross negligence of our Government with many lives. Anyone who doubts that should read the articles. I’m not the only NHS worker who was desperately neglected at a time of great need (and by far and away not one of the most important) but I’m not going to keep banging on about it here. Here is for horse racing! The sooner we get back to that the better as I’m sure you agree. And know that I am a bit better now thanks to finally getting some treatment for what was wrong with me! Thank you to the doctor who sorted it knowing how much else he has on his plate right now.

I’m off to Will Rogers Downs with new energy and two races I’m looking at to turn our April fortunes round. First is the 21-15 which is mainly a watch race because I want to see how Wild Prospect runs to inform our main betting race. A good run is a strong pointer to the chance of our main bet in the 22-15 where our back is Aura if Wild Prospect runs a strong one and Labhay if he doesn’t. That’s because I fancy both of them to beat Karate Hottie and it‘s a tight split but if the Wild Prospect form is good, then I lean definitely for Aura.

There isn’t an official bet in the 21-15 but I did have a good look at it and if you are looking at ramping up your plays a bit now that we are getting more of a handle on the US fare, then I do like the lay on Sheza Rockstar there but because I can’t make my mind up how strong the Wild Prospect form is, I’d probably go value for the back which is our old mate Obed Sanchez’s Do You Bileve. All together now, the answer is yes! Not an official bet though because of that uncertainty which is removed from the 22-15 once we’ve seen whether Wild Prospect upholds the form or not.

Recommendations:

£2 LAY on KARATE HOTTIE

£1 BACK on AURA (if Wild Prospect runs well)

£1 BACK on LABHAY (if he doesn’t)

Get the best prices that you can.

The Boz’s April US  Racing LIM results: (£100 bank)

1st:  -£4-85  (-£4-85) Lay @ 2.54 : Back @ 44.0

2nd:  NO BET

3rd: +£0-96  (-£3-89) Lay @ 2.3 : Back @ 8.7

4th: – £2-20  (-£6-09) Lay @ 1.6 : Back @ 14.0

5th: +£0-48  (-£5-61) Lay @ 2.16 : Back @ 5.15

Crisis Corner LIM Strike Rates: Lays 9/14 = 64.28% : Backs 0/6 = 0%

Good luck with your bets.

BOZ

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LIM Monthly Scores:

February: + 1.3496 points

March      : + 1.5866 points

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The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study and watching the markets develop also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill. Remember also that a lay price available at a significantly lower level than stated on the sheet offers opportunity to increase lay stake without increasing calculated safe lay liability. This can be a key profit optimising tool in the long term if your form study agrees with that published by The Boz.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections). 

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management always in mind.”  Boz 

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