BOZmail 4th JANUARY

JANUARY 2021 – 31 day extension to

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet

MONDAY JANUARY 4th  2021

EXTENSION DAY 4:

12-40 LINGFIELD

I came within an ace of backing Eva’s Oskar on Sunday instead of the lay so I’m counting that one a deserved success as the ground was the call between the front two alright and that’s a formula you’ll see me sticking to this month when we go on the turf. Back to the all weather Monday though with no qualifiers at Fakenham and despite seven winning days on the bounce since Boxing Day, I continue in cautious mode as the all weather is still puzzling me a tad. I looked hard at the Quel Destin race on Sunday but wouldn’t have found the winner there. Worked hard to try to decide which of the front two to lay. Never thought it would be both of them and that a 100/1 shot would beat them both. Noted though. Loads of funny stuff like that been occurring since last March. Time to start trying to predict it!!

The shortlist points to the outsider Sands in Time for this handicap at Lingfield. Alongside Baba Reza and Toussarok and leaves out Mutahamisa on handicap debut despite receiving weight from all but Sands in Time. I was playing in the race at Kempton that Mutahamisa won wearing headgear for the first time and that did seem to sort out some earlier quirks including stalls entry which is never a good sign in a novice. That was a taking run at Kempton though, benefitting also from the step up in trip and coming home well after taking a while to wind up. As a Giants Causeway, will benefit from even further in time and I do think the track suited at Kempton whereas this more speedy round the bends track will expose some frailties so that 5/4 for handicap debut, raised two pounds for that novice win is very skinny. Might be a price that drifts again (just started) so take as low as you can early as I personally think the handicap experience of Baba Rez and Toussarok should decide this. Marginal preference for the Johnston horse and jockey combo. I looked hard at the chance for Sands in Time but couldn’t really find it so we’ll see what the shortlist has seen that I can’t spot if that runs well. The price tempts but ultimately I’m staying tight with a small lay only to try and build up a January fund before starting stabbing at the longshots.

Recommendation:

0.15pt LAY on MUTAHAMISA (around 2.9 – take as short as you can get)

BOZmail 2020 cycle : 2020 overall score = +59.0536points

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Currently stands at : 33.4645 points (+13.4645 points)

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LESS IS MORE

LIM 2020 Strike rates: Lays 129/185 = 69.72%  Backs : 37/118 = 31.35%

LIM Monthly Scores:

February: + 1.3496 points

March  : + 1.5866 points

UK RACING LOCKDOWN

April     : – 0.1733 points

May      : – 0.8359 points

UK RACING RESTARTED

June     : + 0.0428 points

July      : + 0.8046 points 

August :  +1.9726 points   (+4.747 points)

September : +1.0071 points (+5.7541 points)

October : + 2.1487 points (+7.9028 points)

November : +4.468 points (+12.3708 points)

December :  +0.8487 points (+13.2195 points)

January LIM Score:

1st:      +0.098 (+0.098) Lay @ 2.75

2nd:     +0.049 (+0.147) Lay @ 2.5 : Back @ 7.0

3rd:      +0.098 (+0.245) Lay @ 2.3

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