BOZmail – 4th APRIL

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet. 

SATURDAY APRIL 4th  2020 

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Currently standing at 22.9362 points (temporarily suspended)

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TENNIS & TO FOLLOW HORSE BACK/TRADE STARTING BANK = 8 points

Currently standing at 10.4606 points

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OCCASIONAL ACCA STARTING BANK = 5 points

Currently standing at 4.90 points

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BOZmail 2020 cycle current overall profit = +5.2968 points

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LESS IS MORE: (temporarily suspended)

LIM 2020 Strike Rates: Lays: 23/36 = 63.88%  Backs: 9/26 = 34.61%

SATURDAY play in Crisis Corner

18-00 TAMPA BAY DOWNS

The Boz currently blighted with a recurrence of ill health so apologies for the brevity of the posts at the moment. Working hard to get back to being better again. This claimer does look within Don’t Fight’s grasp based on form and ratings but I don’t like the price. The jockey booking isn’t terrific and the drop to seven furlongs would also plunge it into unknown territory win wise. Still on a high winning mark too so I look to oppose on balance and prefer Rita of Cascia for whom this is also not proven ideal distance and Cascabell Queen who gets my back vote. Both get the three year old weight allowance from the fav and look sure to serve it up in that department.

Recommendations:

£2 LAY on DON’T FIGHT

£1 BACK on CASCABELL QUEEN

We do also have the fun of the Virtual Grand National live on TV at 5-15 and whilst not putting it up as an official tip courtesy of not trusting cartoon racing as far as I could throw it, you won’t be surprised to hear that I will be having my quid on Magic of Light. I will be donating any winnings to a suitable good cause but sadly not to any NHS charities. Not because I don’t value the brilliant, nay angelic, work the NHS does all year round to save lives and care for the sick but because I trust the current crop of financial managers in charge of the NHS about as much as I trust the veracity of cartoon racing. I have worked for 25 years now as an NHS volunteer and have seen first hand what was done in the past ten years particularly by way of so called ‘preparation’ for the current crisis. In my opinion,the better or worse part of nothing. In fact it is accurate to say the best you can say is that nothing was done to prepare. The truth is actually worse.

I similarly worked briefly in the bookmaking industry when cartoon racing was first introduced. Sat next to one of the software designers on a daily basis. Like all bookmaker generated products that don’t involve live sport (and arguably even some that do), there is a manipulation outcome aspect that is not in any way, shape or form fair to the punter. The market, as they say, is rigged. Play with that in mind. Done with serious hat off, cartoon racing can be fun.

The loss of this year’s actual Grand National is one the great tragedies of this crisis (relatively speaking of course. Not a tragedy in comparison) as I had a new strategy to air after last year’s semi-success on the BOzmail (see rule 6).

This year I was going to be tipping and backing it myself  but ever patient these days. It can wait until next year.

BOZ 

The Boz’s April US  Racing LIM results: (£100 bank)

1st:  -£4-85  (-£4-85) Lay @ 2.54 : Back @ 44.0

2nd:  NO BET

3rd: +£0-96  (-£3-89) Lay @ 2.3 : Back @ 8.7

Crisis Corner LIM Strike Rates: Lays 8/12 = 66.66% : Backs 0/4 = 0%

Good luck with your bets.

BOZ

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LIM Monthly Scores:

February: + 1.3496 points

March      : + 1.5866 points

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The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study and watching the markets develop also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill. Remember also that a lay price available at a significantly lower level than stated on the sheet offers opportunity to increase lay stake without increasing calculated safe lay liability. This can be a key profit optimising tool in the long term if your form study agrees with that published by The Boz.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections). 

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management always in mind.”  Boz 

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