BOZmail 3rd NOVEMBER

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet

TUESDAY NOVEMBER 3rd  2020

BOZmail 2020 cycle : 2020 overall score = +43.1871 points

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Currently stands at : 27.9518 points (+7.9518 points)

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TENNIS & TO FOLLOW HORSE BACK/TRADE STARTING BANK = 8 points

Currently stands at : 44.6358 points (+36.6358 points)

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OCCASIONAL ACCA STARTING BANK = 5 points

Currently stands at : 4.7485 points (-0.2515 points)

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SPECIAL ROYAL ASCOT fixed odds bets = (-0.554 points)

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Post Lockdown Litmus Test Bozbets = (+0.085 points)

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Local Track Factor Section = (-0.68 points)

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LESS IS MORE

LIM 2020 Strike rates: Lays 100/138 = 72.46%  Backs : 26/87 = 29.88%

1-55 EXETER

Not a strong day again with nothing officially qualifying at Exeter and some big fields around again for Wednesday too. Might be a few days of sitting tight. I’ve looked at taking on Enrilo at short odds in the 2-55 but at the weights and with expected improvement, he should beat The Mighty Don who can be given a chance to edge him again as the experienced player with good attitude. On class however, Enrilo prevails so I’m swerving to the to follow horse from the same stable whose jumping also needs to step up a tad but his form behind Soaring Glory is very smart. SG swerves this to take on a tougher race at Newbury on Thursday leaving the way for Bravemansgame to score.Runswick Bay and Dal Horrisgle have the tools to make a race of it – especially the latter if he takes to his jumps. On balance though, the Nicholls horse does look worth small support despite the price.

Recommendation:

0.15pt BACK on BRAVEMANSGAME (around 2.1 or better if you get offered it)

LIM Scores for November:

1st: +0.049 (+0.049) Lay @ 3.45 : Back @ 8.8

2nd: NO BET

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BOZmail 2020 – NH Horses to follow (Part Two):

Wild Polly

Straw Fan Jack 

McFabulous

Flic Ou Voyou

Soaring Glory Entered @ Newbury (Nov 5)

Israel Champ

Bravemansgame 

Sangha River

Captain Tom Cat

Saint Sam (FR)

Pisgah Pike – Entered @ Cheltenham (Nov 15)

Young Wolf

Sirobbie    

Soldier of Love (3m 2f)

Lady Bowes(soft)

Captain Zebo

Defi Sacre

Leoncavallo

Oscar Rose – Entered @ Market Rasen (Nov 5)

She’s a Rocca(heavy)

Charm Offensive

Timetoroe(heavy)

Baby Jane

Calum Gilhooly 

The Butcher Said

Mrs Hyde 

Return Ticket(flat track)

Redford Road – Entered @ Newbury (Nov 5)

Carroll’s Milan – Entered @ Market Rasen (Nov 5)

Prettylittlething 

Boothill

Al Dancer – Entered@ Cheltenham (Nov 14)

Onemorefortheroad – Entered@ Newbury (Nov 5)

Stormy Ireland

Eldorado Allen

For Pleasure

Fidelio Vallis (softish ground)

Enrichissant

Zamani – Entered@ Newbury (Nov 5)

Ucanaver

Ribble Valley

Shan Blue

Snow Leopardess

Marble Sands

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LIM Monthly Scores:

February: + 1.3496 points

March  : + 1.5866 points

UK RACING LOCKDOWN

April     : – 0.1733 points

May      : – 0.8359 points

UK RACING RESTARTED

June     : + 0.0428 points

July      : + 0.8046 points 

August :  +1.9726 points   (+4.747 points)

September : +1.0071 points (+5.7541 points)

October : + 2.1487 points (+7.9028 points)

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The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study and watching the markets develop also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill. Remember also that a lay price available at a significantly lower level than stated on the sheet offers opportunity to increase lay stake without increasing calculated safe lay liability. This can be a key profit optimising tool in the long term if your form study agrees with that published by The Boz.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections).

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management always in mind.”  Boz

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