BOZmail 3rd JULY

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet. 

FRIDAY JULY 3rd  2020 

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Currently stands at : 20.0222 points (+0.0222 points)

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TENNIS & TO FOLLOW HORSE BACK/TRADE STARTING BANK = 8 points

Currently stands at : 13.121 points (+5.121 points)

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OCCASIONAL ACCA STARTING BANK = 5 points

Currently stands at : 4.89 points (-0.11 points)

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SPECIAL ROYAL ASCOT fixed odds bets = (-0.554 points)

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Post Lockdown Litmus Test Bozbets = (+0.085 points)

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BOZmail 2020 cycle PART ONE(1/2 – 31/5) overall profit  = +4.2876 points

                                      PART TWO(1/6 – 31/1 )  overall profit = +4.5642 points

                                          BOZmail 2020 overall score = +8.8518points

PART ONE LIM 2020 Strike Rates: Lays: 25/41 = 60.97%  Backs: 9/29 = 31.03%

PART TWO LIM 2020 Strike rates: Lays 13/20 = 65%  Backs : 2/8 = 25%

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LESS IS MORE: 

2-40 HAMILTON

Had to play Thursday traditionally due to personal circs and thus post a loss and a sad end to the current run. Wasn’t much opportunity to trade anyways from what I hear. I only came in for the ten minutes before the off and it looked quite clear by then that the market had spoken. Hey ho. 

Not found much for Friday either as the LIM qualifiers remain lockdown or early flat season afflicted. Taking on Shesadabber is the best I can manage and Popping Corks run against last time was as pure lockdown affected as you can get. Won’t be surprised to see that run better this time. But it’s not much of a race and I play minimum trade style only.

Am gearing to the Derby weekend now for the most part and the NH after that. Have included a list of trainers to be aware of below gleaned from yesterday’s watching of Southwell. Worth keeping handy. Stables firing is the way to play in this spell.

Also a To Follow trade for Friday detailed below.

Recommendation:

0.2pt LAY on SHESADABBER (around 1.75. Take as low as you can get to be hedged when offered preferential odds)

 LIM Scores in July:

1st:  +0.1054   (+0.1054) Lays @ 2.22 & 2.4 : Backs @ 3.1 & 2.56

2nd: -0.126      (-0.0206) Lay @ 1.48 : Backs @ 16.0 & 40.0

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BOZmail 2020 – Horses to follow on the flat:

Frankly Darling – Entered for The Oaks (July 4)

Muker – Entered for York (Aug 20)

Significantly – Entered for York (Aug 20) & Doncaster (Sep 10)

Malotru

English King – Entered for The Derby (July 4)

Ransom

Virgin Snow 

Collinsbay – Entered for Windsor (July 6) & Doncaster (Sep 10)

Uncle Jumbo – Entered for Newbury(July 19)&York(Aug 20)&Doncaster (Sep 10)

On My Way

Battleground – Entered for Doncaster (Sep 10)

Sharp Reply

Jaganory 

Waseem Faris

Little Chance

Samwell (FR)

Royal Air Force – Entered in the 2021 Derby (June 5)

TO FOLLOW TRADE FOR FRIDAY:

1-15 CHEPSTOW – JAGANORY @ 12/1 – 0.25pt BACK

Usual advice to take the best price you can and hedge when offered preferential odds.

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THE BOZ’s LIST OF NH TRAINERS COMING BACK FROM LOCKDOWN IN RUDE HEALTH (observed on opening day at Southwell)

Olly Murphy

Ben Pauling

Tom Lacey

Nicky Martin

Harry Whittington

Paul Nicholls

Michael Scudamore

Jamie Snowden

Fergal O’Brien

Oliver Sherwood

THOSE NOT FIRING:

Dan Skelton

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The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study and watching the markets develop also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill. Remember also that a lay price available at a significantly lower level than stated on the sheet offers opportunity to increase lay stake without increasing calculated safe lay liability. This can be a key profit optimising tool in the long term if your form study agrees with that published by The Boz.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections). 

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management always in mind.”  Boz 

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