BOZmail – 31st DECEMBER

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2019 home of the BOZmail

 

Welcome to the new BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet.

 

MONDAY DECEMBER 31st 2018

 

LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

 

LESS IS MORE: MONDAY PLAY

2-20 LINGFIELD (off time corrected)

Two out of three with the post Xmas LIM backs. That’s more like it! New Years Resolution to keep that up and you will see perhaps less incidence going forward. Will be going lay only for a while now unless I have a strong back fancy. Always looking to improve profit scores and 8 consecutive lay successes shows clearly where our profit lies on current form. Pleased also to have recouped the miserable Redditch loss in one fell swoop. Strong lesson learned there also!

So onto the final LIM of 2019 and it comes on the all weather again with no UK qualifiers over jumps. And it is another of those double handers where Alan King runs two and the longer priced is the much more fancied by The Boz. Cosmeapolitan is on a direct formline from Kempton two runs back and gets a 13lb turnaround for a 5 length defeat. That should do it! No wonder Alan King runs both. Caspar the Cub is on a steep improve for headgear being added but carries a hefty penalty again and is less suited to the speed and tight turns of Lingfield being one of those wind up horses much more suited by the long run in at Kempton. That also applies to Cosmeapolitan mind although both have done ok in the sparing runs at Lingfield. Not as well as Seafarer though who is a big threat to both and best on the surface would be Technological who is not out of it at the weights but does have to overcome a step up in class.

I fancy Cosmeapolitan to small stake in view of the trainer double handed factor but I fancy the lay on Caspar the Cub more and intend to go out of 2018 as ever I do with a touch of consistency (whether it be consistently good or consistently bad!) – keeping my staking same as yesterday!

 

Happy New Year to you all.

 

BOZ

 

Recommendation:

0.3pt LAY on CASPAR THE CUB

0.1pt BACK on COSMEAPOLITAN

 

BLWM LIM strike rates:  LAYS: 22.5/28 = 80.35% :  BACKS: 3/18 = 16.66%

 

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THE BOZmail NH horses To Follow list will arrive on this service on January 1st 2019 with its own starting bank and advices in line with encouraging a portfolio approach to successful punting.

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STAGGERED ACCA RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 10 points

Stands at 9.5 points.

 

STAGGERED ACCA NUMBER 3:

(remember that stake of successful first leg bet is always returned directly to bank and that stake for leg two is simply the winnings from leg one.)

 

The post mortem on Redditch is that they were rubbish! And thus it was not a good nor clever tip and chastened I am. Did have a good staggered acca come in on them in November during their winning streak and have given them too much credit for that for which I apologise and they are scratched off my list indefinitely now until such time as something significant changes. They have become inconsistent and no good following inconsistency in this game.

Next staggered acca will start off in the New Year as and when something of better class turns up. Don’t do much apologising in this game because losses do have to be lived with and learned from. They do happen. I never take them well however and am in particular inclined to offer apologies for this one.

As Alex Ferguson used to say through gritted teeth and with his famous angry nose a-throbbing,”too shocking for words”!!

 

Good Luck with your bets.

 

BOZ

 

The BOZmail golden rules:

 

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(that’s my job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a price. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges)

5/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been my mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year I pack in.

 

I play cautiously and strategically with bank management also always in mind. The staggered acca is the attempt to win large from small stake. The LIM is the cashbuilder to gradually accumulate profit over a 12 month period.

 

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