BOZmail – 2nd JUNE

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet. 

TUESDAY JUNE 2nd  2020 

*************************************************

 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

*************************************************

TENNIS & TO FOLLOW HORSE BACK/TRADE STARTING BANK = 8 points

*************************************************

OCCASIONAL ACCA STARTING BANK = 5 points

*************************************************

BOZmail 2020 cycle PART ONE(1/2 – 31/5) overall profit = +4.2876 points

                                      PART TWO(1/6 –        )  overall profit = 

PART ONE LIM 2020 Strike Rates: Lays: 25/41 = 60.97%  Backs: 9/29 = 31.03%

************************************************************************

LESS IS MORE: 

Suspended until further notice:

THE BOZmail post lockdown litmus test:

NEWCASTLE SHORTLIST: (1.6.20) RESULTS: 7 winners : 5 placers : 2 x CSF

1-00 Al Ozzdi(2nd@4/1) – Zodiakos(1st@22/1)  – Ghadbaan – Tiercel – My Boy Lewis CSF = £101-35

1-35 Geizy Teizy – Defence Treaty(3rd@14/1) – Mutasaamy – Amadeus Grey –

         Cote D’Azur – Indian Viceroy – Little Jo(1st@9/1)

2-10 Bonds Boy(3rd@3/1) – Little Red Socks

2-45 Art Power(1st@5/4) – Magical Journey

3-20 Heath Charnock – Lincoln Park – Tenax – Tathmeen – Brian The

         Snail(1st@13/2) – I Am A Dreamer

3-55 Taste The Nectar – Red Treble – Macho Touch – Oakenshield(1st@13/2)

         Shoot to Kill – Written Broadcast

4-30 Queen of Kalahari(1st@10/1) – Excessable – Hard Solution – Puchita –

         Requinto Dawn

5-05 Star of The East – Cosmelli(4th@33/1)  – Makawee

5-40 Thibaan(2nd@9/4) – Frankly Darling(1st@10/11) CSF = £2-90 

6-15 Byzantine Empire(3rd@9/4) – Assayer

(Incidence : 40 selections in 10 races)

How closely were you watching on the watch and see day? Close enough to see Art Power taking a dump before the off?! Well done if you were playing and reacted to that.

I hedged out of my lay and saved all my winnings from good old Little Jo!

First race suggested that perhaps we were going to have a Shortlist winning day with Zodiakos winning at a big SP and the forecast landed courtesy of the Roger Fell yard who have started in noted sharp form. Those of you that haven’t seen the Shortlist at work before will get used to that sort of thing this week. Big price winners do occur with regularity but obviously the big incidence was also in play here as part of our litmus test and my conclusion on that would be yes, Newcastle did do a lot better than expected and the laying day didn’t show profit but to some extent Newcastle as not a premier track did show through. A good whack of losers and despite the winners, a low score on placers and not the overall consistency and forecasts it can show at the premier tracks from a much lower incidence. Plenty of misfiring favourites though  so I think the fact that the market hasn’t yet got a grip is established.The shortlist emphatically outscored the market! The formbook did ok however and the Boz also did not bad picking out two from 120 runners that both ran stellar races. 

And so we move on. I intend to carry on with the first week as a litmus test and then see where we are for perhaps a return to full sheet service therefrom. Might ease off on laying longshots however! Under 5/1 shots only for me from now on!

It was encouraging to be back in home territory again. It does make a great difference to assessing what you see. Having well known reference points to measure against and jockey and trainer names that are familiar. We might perhaps get back up and running sooner rather than later after all!

I’ve picked a couple more fun bets out for Tuesday to follow on the encouraging beginning. Both in the same race which is the 6-00 at Newcastle. You’ll see there are four NO SELECTION races at Newcastle on Tuesday and one at Kempton (where I rarely play on the flat). Unraced two year olds. You bet on those races at your peril!!

Sticking to what we learned from Monday, I pick two in that last race at Newcastle.

Big Country takes a hike down in class following a session in Dubai in much better company than he meets here. Can be given an excuse for his poor show at Kempton in a Listed race last year as jockey reported a breathing issue. It is possible he prefers Lingfield however but might just be a spade too good for this lot and is a smashing big price making him worth the risk. I take Roger Fell’s Sucellus as cover in the same race. We saw stable form on Monday and jockey booking and second run after a wind op are in our favour here. I’ve picked this out without the help of the shortlist in case the Osbourne stable aren’t coming back from lockdown in fine fettle.

But I’ll play 50p reversed forecast as well as my quid singles to see if I can’t play up Monday’s winnings! 

BOZBETS during the Litmus Test:

Day one: £1 win on Little Jo @ 9/1 – WON

                  £1 win on Cosmelli @ 33/1 – 4th

                  50p double.

DAY ONE P/L = +£7-50

Day two: £1 win on Big Country

                 £1 win on Sucellus

                 50p Reversed Forecast

NEWCASTLE SHORTLIST: (2.6.20)

12-45 Lawmaking – Siglo Six – Star Shield – Ours Puissant – Hill Walker – Breanski – Jackstar – Mikmak

1-20 Fifth Position – You’re Fired – Dark Vision – Firmament

1-55 Yorkshire Gold – Abstemious – Overwrite – Ayr Harbour

2-30 Glen Shiel – Cosmic Law – Vintage Brut – Cold Stare

3-05&3-40&4-15&4-50 NO SELECTIONS

5-25 Billy No Mates – Unit of Assessment – Gabrial The One – Sexy Beast – Multellie – Blue Medici – Armandihan – Swift Wing

6-00 Big Country – Trevithick – Society Red

(Incidence : 31 selections in 6 races)

KEMPTON SHORTLIST: (2.6.20)

1-00 Lord of the Sky – Mafia Power

1-35 Junderstand – Noble Gift – The Children’s Trust – Wimpole Hall – Scofflaw

2-10 Amplify – Jack The Truth – Charming Kid

2-45 NO SELECTIONS 

3-20 Meraas – Cold Front

3-55 First Receiver – Imrahor

4-30 Galsworthy – Jazz Party

5-05 Paddy The Chef – Teaser – Kensington Art – Malika I Jahan – Really Super – London Eye – Secretario – Singing The Blues

5-40 Trigger Happy – Rocketeer – Gift Of Youth

(Incidence : 27 selections in 8 races)

BOZmail 2020 – Horses to follow on the flat:

Frankly Darling

The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study and watching the markets develop also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill. Remember also that a lay price available at a significantly lower level than stated on the sheet offers opportunity to increase lay stake without increasing calculated safe lay liability. This can be a key profit optimising tool in the long term if your form study agrees with that published by The Boz.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections). 

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management always in mind.”  Boz 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *