BOZmail 2nd January

JANUARY 2021 – 31 day extension to

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet

SATURDAY JANUARY 2nd  2020

EXTENSION DAY 2:

2-20 LINGFIELD

And there you see on day 1 of the extension month why I dislike and feel uncomfortable with January as a month to play LIM in! On top of all the uncertainties we have endured this past year, we now have abundant weather issues, abandonments,late declared non-runners and wildly inaccurate tissues to deal with as well.Staple January fare! Thrill Seeker did drift like a barge despite a field depleted by two and the one they poured the money on ran like a drainpipe. Not sure I can claim much credit for my play but a winner it is and should never diss that so onward and upward with more abandonments for Saturday but a clutch of potential LIM qualifiers to choose from so let’s see if I can sort out the right one! One that actually takes place with all the runners intact would be nice! 

Had a good look at the NH fare on Saturday but don’t like any as much as this back on the all weather at Lingfield where I don’t really understand the tissue. Rohaan has course and distance above everyone else and is a fast improving horse but faces a big penalty rise in the weights and has an 11lb turnaround with Andronicus Beau on LTO. We saw on Thursday how that doesn’t necessarily mean a reversal of result but this one looks stronger for just a 1 and a quarter length defeat with strong jockey remaining in plate and Dascombe stable very much in kilter with horse’s running to 88% of form in past 14 days. Rohaan did show good speed to come past but that weight change makes it harder this time and Richard Kingscote will know exactly what he has to do and can plan accordingly.

All five in the field can be given good chance with all recent winners so the market looks one to play and the result will be no doubt – as it often is on the all weather – dependent on how it runs on the day.

Recommendation:

0.12pt LAY on ROHAAN (around 2.7)

0.07pt BACK on ANDRONICUS BEAU (around 5.5)

BOZmail 2020 cycle : 2020 overall score = +58.9066points

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Currently stands at : 33.3175 points (+13.3175 points)

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LESS IS MORE

LIM 2020 Strike rates: Lays 127/183 = 69.39%  Backs : 37/117 = 31.62%

LIM Monthly Scores:

February: + 1.3496 points

March  : + 1.5866 points

UK RACING LOCKDOWN

April     : – 0.1733 points

May      : – 0.8359 points

UK RACING RESTARTED

June     : + 0.0428 points

July      : + 0.8046 points 

August :  +1.9726 points   (+4.747 points)

September : +1.0071 points (+5.7541 points)

October : + 2.1487 points (+7.9028 points)

November : +4.468 points (+12.3708 points)

December :  +0.8487 points (+13.2195 points)

January LIM Score:

1st:      +0.098 (+0.098) Lay @ 2.75

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