BOZmail 29th JANUARY

JANUARY 2021 – 31 day extension to

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet (replaced from January 21st onwards by THE BOZNAP)

FRIDAY JANUARY 29th

EXTENSION DAY 29:

LESS IS MORE

2-05 DONCASTER

With the news that Cheltenham could now be off Saturday and Fontwell also on Sunday, I thought I’d better have another look at Friday in case it’s my last bet of the cycle! No real candidate for BOZnap with my runner at Huntingdon thwarted.This effort at Doncaster is best I’ve found with Charmant a value price to repeat last year’s win in this race run over a shorter distance. Didn’t see it as a nap bet though as Whoshotthesheriff and The Big Bite have slightly better on paper profile. And then there’s Ibleo. Initially 6/5 but now on at 11/8, he does look short carrying his penalty. Horse I do know and has been entered in some tasty races this season winning the last one and being fairly unlucky in the other two. Carries the penalty but is the class in the race and could also be the dreaded improver that is the bane of LIM at this time of year. But we are now approaching February of course and the difference between end of January and start of February is only a day and time I started practising my LIM skills again in time for the new cycle. To that end I did some dummy runs at Fakenham after that got the green light on Thursday and managed one up one down so have decided to play this as an LIM rather than a BOZnap just because that is what it looks like and I do need the real time practice. Staying to BOZnap stake patterns however. No way I’m risking the January profit figure unduly with it still being in the official no go zone!

Ibleo must give weight to all the other three who each have their chance against him with Charmant the value back. Ibleo could be good enough to win but on balance he does pass LIM qualifier muster and I’m game to take him on given that possible last bet of the cycle tag. Market watch recommended though. Get the best prices that you can.

Recommendations:

0.04pt LAY on IBLEO (around 2.4 but lower if you can get it)

0.025pt BACK on CHARMANT (around 13.0)

JANUARY EXTENSION BOZNAP 11 DAY SEQUENCE (all to be backed to 0.025pt stake) RECORD OF RESULTS:

BOZNAP NUMBER 1 – IT JUST TAKES TIME @ best priced 7/1 – 2nd

BOZNAP NUMBER 2 – BRIAN THE SNAIL @ best priced 9/2 – 2nd

BOZNAP NUMBER 3 – 3-35 ASCOT – FIRST FLOW @ best priced 16/1 – 1st 

                                     – 6-40 NEWCASTLE – ATRAFAN @ best priced 9/2 – 1st

BOZNAP NUMBER 4 – 1-50 HEREFORD – TIMETOROE @ best priced 10/1 – NR

BOZNAP NUMBER 5 – 2-20 PLUMPTON – LILLY PEDLAR @ around 3 or 4/1 – NR

BOZNAP NUMBER 6 – 2-55 SOUTHWELL – CUSTARD THE DRAGON @ 4/1 – 5th

BOZNAP NUMBER 7 – 3-35 LINGFIELD – SAAHEQ @ best priced 7/1 – 4th

BOZNAP NUMBER 8 – NO BET

BOZmail 2020 cycle : 2020 overall score = +59.437points

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Currently stands at : 33.8479 points (+13.8479 points)

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LIM 2020 Strike rates: Lays 134/195 = 68.71%  Backs : 39/131 = 29.77%

LIM Monthly Scores:

February: + 1.3496 points

March  : + 1.5866 points

UK RACING LOCKDOWN

April     : – 0.1733 points

May      : – 0.8359 points

UK RACING RESTARTED

June     : + 0.0428 points

July      : + 0.8046 points 

August :  +1.9726 points   (+4.747 points)

September : +1.0071 points (+5.7541 points)

October : + 2.1487 points (+7.9028 points)

November : +4.468 points (+12.3708 points)

December :  +0.8487 points (+13.2195 points)

January LIM/BOZnap Score:

1st:      +0.098 (+0.098) Lay @ 2.75

2nd:     +0.049 (+0.147) Lay @ 2.5 : Back @ 7.0

3rd:      +0.098 (+0.245) Lay @ 2.3

4th:      +0.147 (+0.392) Lay @ 2.6

5th:      NO BET

6th:      +0.098 (+0.49)   Lay @ 3.7 (averaged)

7th:      RACING ABANDONED

8th:      NO BET

9th:      +0.588 (+1.078) Lay @ 2.4 : Back @ 11.0

10th:    +0.098 (+1.176) Lay @ 2.26 : Back @ 5.0

11th:    +0.1176 (+1.2936) Lay @ 2.9

12th:     -0.218  (+1.0756) Lay @ 2.4 : Back @ 61.0

13th:     -0.131  (+0.9446) Lay @ 1.81 : Back @ 8.0

14th:     -0.1       (+0.8446) Back @ 3.1

15th:     -0.075   (+0.7696) Lays @ 2.0 & 3.8 : Back @ 18.0

16th:     -0.068   (+0.7016) Lay @ 2.06 : Back @ 4.0

17th:     NO BET

18th:     -0.1       (+0.6016) Back @ 2.8

19th:     RACING ABANDONED

20th:     -0.15     (+0.4516) Lay @ 4.0

LIM suspended for the rest of January 2021 to be replaced on a daily basis by the BOZnap.

21st:      -0.025   (+0.4266) Back @ 8.0

22nd:     -0.025   (+0.4016) Back @ 5.5

23rd:      +0.2768 (+0.6784) Backs @ 18.0 & 6.6 

24th:      RACING ABANDONED

25th:      NON RUNNER

26th:      -0.025    (+0.6534) Back @ 5.0 

27th:      -0.025    (+0.6284) Back @ 9.0

28th:      NO BET

LIM returned on 29th for possible last play of the 2020 BOZmail cycle.

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