BOZmail – 27th NOVEMBER – the 2019 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the new BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet. 




Stands at 60.481 points after month 11 (+40.481 points profit)



= -0.6points



Current Total      = +7.5813 points



Current Total      = +14.5657 points






I make the foray for the first time this winter NH season into AW weather flat racing as a substitution for the lack of LIM opportunities over the jumps this day (one tough three runner novice hurdle at Hereford is all we get) to suggest that despite an excellent time in his win over course and distance LTO, Sweet Celebration might have difficulty repeating that under revised terms and with penalty to carry and is anyways strictly held on back form from Newcastle by Sashenka who gave greater weight and a sound beating that day. Sylvester Kirk’s stable at 78% on the form in running chart over past 14 days and thus I fancy that form may be upheld.


0-35pt LAY on SWEET CELEBRATION (around 2.3 : no greater than 2.6)

Tuesday play:

……It will pay for the other three planned bets in classic LIM style if I am right….

And I think it’s fair to say I was and once more you see the value of the LIM approach in grinding away for the past three and a half months making small gains so that when the pearler comes, it’s all profit. Those of you who managed 23.5 on Glance Back take a bow. You get the BOZmail gold star! I only managed 22.0. 

And that’s 23.5 on a winner in a five horse race where the form was most categorically in the book. Good ole LIM! By my reckoning, those wondering what they might pay their 2020 subs with as Xmas expenses loom just had their prayers answered! I won enough to pay for two years subs. And all in one day. 

Of course wouldn’t be the same without that bit of Murphys luck in the forecast being completed by the rag outsider whilst our boy did his bestist to try and run him down at the end!! £130-07 the forecast. Well done if you got that aswell as it was pickable from the double lay rationale. I missed it. Double gold star if you got that and 23.5!!

Happy days. BOZ.

BLWM LIM strike rates:  LAYS: 202/302 = 66.88% :   BACKS: 54/202 = 26.73%

This month’s scores so far:

1st:    +0.343 (+0.343) Lay @ 2.6

2nd:   +0.245 (+0.588) Lay @ 2.62

3rd:    +0.098 (+0.656) Lay @ 4.2

4th:    NO PLAY DAY

5th:    +0.096 (+0.752) Lay @4.4 : Back @ 3.85

6th:    +0.147 (+0.899) Lay @ 1.75

7th:    +0.196 (+1.095) Lay @ 4.2

8th:    +0.343 (+1.438) Lay @ 2.1

9th:    -0.475 (+0.963) Lay @ 2.9

10th:  -0.3425(+0.6205) Lay @ 1.97 : Back @ 5.0

11th:  +0.144 (+0.7645) Lay @ 2.6 : Back @ 5.0

12th:  +0.196 (+0.9605) Lay @ 3.85

13th:  +0.596 +(1.5565) Lay @ 2.48 : Back @ 5.0

14th:  +0.147 (+1.7035) Lay @ 3.0

15th:   +0.095 (+1.7985) Lay @ 3.2 : Back @ 14.5

16th:   +0.245 (+2.0435) Lay @ 2.6

17th:   +0.143 (+2.1865) Lay @ 2.4 : Back @ 3.0

18th:    -0.332 (+1.8545) Lay @ 1.52 : Backs @6.0 & 26.0

19th:    +0.22 (+2.0745) Lay @ 1.89 : Back @ 36.0

20th:     -0.495 (+1.5795) Lay @ 3.1 : Back @ 8.0

21st:     +0.046(+1.6255) Lay @ 3.8 : Back @ 3.3

22nd:    -0.15 (+1.4755) Back @ 4.5

23rd:     +0.243 (+1.7185) Lay @ 2.2 : Back @ 8.0

24th:     +0.245 (+1.9635) Lay @ 4.0

25th:     +0.294 (+2.2575) Lay @ 4.0

26th:     +2.717 (+4.9745) Lays @ 1.79 & 3.5 : Back @ 22.0



Stands at 9.4 points.  

12-50 SEDGEFIELD – EMMA LAMB – around even money – 0.35pt stake. -LOST

Wouldn’t be same if on such a day Murphys Law didn’t have his say and not only give us an agonising 1-3 in our LIM megavalue forecast but also caused the downfall of the staggered acca cert who ran an absolute shocker just as Glance Back ran such a pearler.And the lesson you learn from that? Emma Lamb was a lay at the price. They always are.Staggered acca is flawed in that sense I think. Doesn’t incorporate value backing which LIM so admirably does. And hand in hand on the same daily sheet most certainly has not worked. And so, on a day of outright celebration, I finally lay to rest the failed project of the year. The 0.6pt loss from bank over the 12 months will be logged into the overall score and we say farewell to the staggered acca. RIP.



La Bague au Roi – Entered for the King George & The Gold Cup!

Unwin VC 


Tea Clipper 

Nube Negra 

Black Op – Entered for Newbury (Nov 29) & Stayers Hurdle (Mar 12)

Verdana Blue – Entered for Champion Hurdle

Maire Banrigh 


Flic Ou Voyou 

Thyme Hill 


Indian Opera

Lady Bowes 


Vinndication –Entered for King George & Gold Cup!

Lostintranslation – Entered for King George,Ryanair & Gold Cup

Cat Tiger 

Welsh Saint 

Normandy Soldier

Ribble Valley 

Kid Commando 

Up The Straight

Flaming Charmer


Soaring Glory




A highly competitive affair but Ribble Valley oozes class and could well be up to it. Usual proviso – back at best price you can get and hedge at judged appropriate time when offered preferential odds either before race or during running or both.


PLANS for the 2020 BOZmail:

The main development for next year is an annual subscription service only which will become available for purchase from December 1st 2019 and will be limited to first 150 purchasers. Membership will be closed when that number is reached or on January 31st 2020. Activity will begin on 1st February 2020.

The 2020 service will not be covering horseracing during January 2020 nor September 2020 as statistics have shown these to be negative months for LIM.

The 2020 BOZmail cycle will thus be a 10 month cycle completing on December 31st 2020.

The reason for annual subscription membership only is so that all members will be at same bank management level throughout. This enables The Boz to practice greater profit reinvestment in his staking levels (thus increasing overall profitability). Something that has not been possible in the 2019 cycle where new members were joining all the time and members were thus at varying bank levels throughout – leading The Boz to be more cautious in his staking levels than was ideal.

Membership of the 2020 BOZmail is recommended for those with some experience of how the service works (at least a month to six weeks)  although new members will be admitted up to the subscription closing date on January 31st 2020 if places are still available. First chance to purchase subscription however will be made to current members only. The service will only be advertised to non members after December 31st 2019 if some places are still available. The capping of numbers for the service is hopefully self explanatory to those who have experience of the service.

There will be some changes to content although the main focus will remain on the daily LIM service and the to follow trading advices in UK horse racing. Tennis coverage of the women’s Grand Slams will be limited to Wimbledon and the French Open only in 2020. There will be ad hoc accumulator advices throughout the cycle as they arise. The staggered acca approach practised in 2019 however will be discontinued. Simply hasn’t been as successful as hoped.

Never afraid to cull its dead wood is the BOZmail!

There are plans to introduce a paddock watching element to the service and to organise various days at the races during the year for those interested in advancing paddock watching skills and using these as an enhancement to their punting profitability generally. Details of these days will be available to BOZmail annual subscriber members only and will come at no extra charge (other than responsibility for paying own course entrance fee). The Boz is also publishing a guide to UK paddock watching in 2020 and will thus be in attendance at all UK racecourses at some point during the year collecting material for the book.

If you have any questions or queries about 2020 BOZmail annual membership at this stage, please feel free to contact The BOZ direct as always via email ( TGH Trading will be in touch in the coming weeks with personal invites to all current members to purchase first chance 2020 membership detailing cost etc. Opening date for purchasing 2020 membership will be December 1st 2019. First come,first served. 

With thanks to all who have supported the service in 2019 and here’s to a highly profitable and enjoyable 2020!



 Good Luck with your bets.


The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. As from March 2019 onwards, advised not to take BETFAIR SP prices on lays following some adverse returns therein over the January/February period. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) within the published parameters when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections). 

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management also always in mind. The staggered acca is the attempt to win large from small stake. The LIM is the cashbuilder to gradually accumulate profit over a 12 month period.”  Boz 

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