BOZmail 26th NOVEMBER

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet

THURSDAY NOVEMBER 26th  2020

 LESS IS MORE

LIM 2020 Strike rates: Lays 113/158 = 71.51%  Backs : 32/99 = 32.32%

NO BET

Proper hardcore LIM again on Wednesday. Testicles to the race read and play the market,the value and the hunch! My perception was that they don’t come all the way from Ireland at the moment for the state of their health! 13.0 was a mighty price and well done if you got some of the 15.0 that was there for a while (I missed it busy watching the Great British Bake-off final – Tshhh!). I thought Bridget Skelton did a great job of putting the fav’s jumping under pressure. Worked a treat. She really is becoming a major player and from a stable with some beautiful horses. Old Harry got to watch out for his job!

So the iffy week’s losses of last week restored (and some) and a mighty busy weekend ahead as you’ll see from the updated entries list. And absolutely no LIM qualifiers on Thursday (but for the odd race at Chelmsford and I’m still in no mood to go risking on the flat at the moment).

So a rare day off. The sun is shining and I’ve heard they might let me in to paddock watch at Taunton. The year we were supposed to have might just be about to begin!

Enjoy the break and gird your loins for some serious betting at Newbury and Newcastle on Friday and Saturday.

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BOZmail 2020 – NH Horses to follow (Part Two):

Wild Polly – Entered for Newcastle (Nov 28)

Straw Fan Jack 

McFabulous – Entered for Newbury (Nov 27) & Stayers hurdle (Mar 18)

Flic Ou Voyou 

Israel Champ

Bravemansgame – Entered for Newbury (Nov 27)

Pisgah Pike -Entered for Doncaster & Newbury (Nov 28)

Young Wolf 

Lady Bowes(soft)

Captain Zebo

Defi Sacre – Entered for Newbury (Nov 27)

Leoncavallo

Oscar Rose 

Charm Offensive – Entered for Ayr (Nov 30)

Timetoroe(heavy) 

Baby Jane

Calum Gilhooly 

Mrs Hyde – Entered for Newbury (Nov 28)

Return Ticket(flat track) 

Prettylittlething 

Boothill

Al Dancer – Entered for King George (Dec 26)

Eldorado Allen 

For Pleasure 

Ribble Valley – Entered in the Fighting Fifth,Newcastle (Nov 28) & Champion Hurdle

Shan Blue

Shang Tang

Snow Leopardess 

Marble Sands

Dusart 

Bobby Bow (heavy) – Entered for Newcastle (Nov 28) & Leicester (Nov 29)

Summerville Boy – Entered for Newbury (Nov 27) & Stayers Hurdle (Mar 18)

Ga Law

Hitman

First Flow – Entered for Tingle Creek,Sandown (Dec 5)

Get Your Own

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LIM Monthly Scores:

February: + 1.3496 points

March  : + 1.5866 points

UK RACING LOCKDOWN

April     : – 0.1733 points

May      : – 0.8359 points

UK RACING RESTARTED

June     : + 0.0428 points

July      : + 0.8046 points 

August :  +1.9726 points   (+4.747 points)

September : +1.0071 points (+5.7541 points)

October : + 2.1487 points (+7.9028 points)

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LIM Scores for November:

1st: +0.049 (+0.049) Lay @ 3.45 : Back @ 8.8

2nd: NO BET

3rd: +0.1543 (+0.2033) Back @ 2.05

4th:  NO BET

5th:  +0.098   (+0.3013) Lay @ 1.98 : Backs @ 9.0 & 51.0

6th:  +0.4312 (+0.7325) Lay @ 3.4 : Backs @ 6.8 & 13.5

7th:  +0.196   (+0.9285) Lays @ 4.0 & 3.35

8th:  +0.098   (+1.0265) Lay @2.1 : Back @ 8.4

9th:  +0.4606 (+1.4871) Lay @ 3.7 : Back @ 4.2

10th: +0.294 (+1.7811) Lay @ 2.04

11th: – 0.364  (+1.4171) Lay @ 2.04

12th: +0.196  (+1.6131) Lay @ 2.0 : Back @ 4.0

13th:  -0.3       (+1.3131) Lay @ 2.2

14th:  +0.147 (+1.4601)  Lay @ 2.24

15th:  +2.5284 (+3.9885) Lay @ 1.86 : Backs @ 6.6 & 25.0

16th:  NON RUNNER

17th:  -0.515   (+3.4735) Lay @ 2.86 : Back @ 13.5

18th:  +0.0735 (+3.547) Lay @ 3.8 : Back @ 6.0

19th:   -0.295   (+3.252) Lay @ 2.18

20th:   +0.343  (+3.595) Lay @ 1.3

21st:   – 0.329  (+3.266) Lay @ 2.86 : Back @ 4.5

22nd:  – 0.174  (+3.092) Lay @ 2.16

23rd:   +0.6566 (+3.7486) Lay @ 2.12 : Back @ 3.8

24th:   -0.318  (+3.4306) Lay @ 2.06

25th:   +0.7984 (+4.229) Lay @ 1.9 : Back @ 13.0

26th:   NO BET

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BOZmail 2020 cycle : 2020 overall score = +50.9142points

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Currently stands at : 32.1318 points (+12.1318 points)

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TENNIS & TO FOLLOW HORSE BACK/TRADE STARTING BANK = 8 points

Currently stands at : 48.5529 points (+40.5529 points)

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OCCASIONAL ACCA STARTING BANK = 5 points

Currently stands at : 4.3785 points (-0.6215 points)

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SPECIAL ROYAL ASCOT fixed odds bets = (-0.554 points)

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Post Lockdown Litmus Test Bozbets = (+0.085 points)

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Local Track Factor Section = (-0.68 points)

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The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study and watching the markets develop also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill. Remember also that a lay price available at a significantly lower level than stated on the sheet offers opportunity to increase lay stake without increasing calculated safe lay liability. This can be a key profit optimising tool in the long term if your form study agrees with that published by The Boz.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections).

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management always in mind.”  Boz

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