BOZmail 26th MARCH

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet. 

THURSDAY MARCH 26th  2020 

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Currently standing at 22.8778 points (temporarily suspended)

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TENNIS & TO FOLLOW HORSE BACK/TRADE STARTING BANK = 8 points

Currently standing at 10.4606 points

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OCCASIONAL ACCA STARTING BANK = 5 points

Currently standing at 4.90 points

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BOZmail 2020 cycle current overall profit = +5.2384 points

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LESS IS MORE: (temporarily suspended)

LIM 2020 Strike Rates: Lays: 23/36 = 63.88%  Backs: 9/26 = 34.61%

THURSDAY play in Crisis Corner

Starting to look a bit thin now with all Irish sporting fixtures cancelled. Some US racing remains but haven’t found anything for Thursday I can tip. Looks like time to accept the situation for now with the news that testing kits could be here next week. That signifies a possible start to the fightback in my admittedly layman’s understanding of all this. Feels like I had my dose already after four nights of fairly severe night sweats and just a tiredness and stuffy nose since and my glands – always pretty active and fighting something or other off – have been in overdrive for three weeks now. I built up immunity to glandular fever when I was a kid (but am still a carrier) and reckon my antibodies test should give me and a few million others a green light to start back some normality. Here’s hoping.

I will continue to look for a bet over the weekend (found some Australian horses but they run so bloody early in the morning!) and also have a few writing ideas although the expected series of discussions on hot betting issues hasn’t really taken off and like a few others, I’m in that mindset of reckoning discussing topics relating to how the world used to be might be a bit futile. There is a good chance everything will be unrecognisable after (and better?!) and this sort of thing certainly gives chance for change and getting rid of all the old gripey practices. Industry SPs on the way out is the one topic I might still float on and if we have a period of behind closed doors racing for months once things are back up, I could see that coming to pass with course bookmakers not in evidence. More chance of the market is the thing coming into play which would suit me right enough. I always did think SPs was a bad practice for punters.

More anon. 

The Boz’s March US & Irish Racing LIM results:  (£100 bank)

18th:  -£4-10 (-£4-10) Lay @ 1.7 : Back @ 21.0

19th:   NO BET

20th:  +£2-94 (-£1-16) Lay @ 3.0

21st:   NO BET

22nd:  -£1-75 (-£2-91) Lays @ 2.25 & 10.5

23rd:  +0.294 (+£0-03) Lay @ 1.79

24th:    -£1-52 (-£1-49) Lay @ 1.76

25th:    IRISH RACING ABANDONED

26th:    NO BET

 Hands in pockets time.

BOZ

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LIM Monthly Scores:

February: + 1.3496 points

March (truncated): + 1.5282 points

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The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study and watching the markets develop also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill. Remember also that a lay price available at a significantly lower level than stated on the sheet offers opportunity to increase lay stake without increasing calculated safe lay liability. This can be a key profit optimising tool in the long term if your form study agrees with that published by The Boz.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections). 

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management always in mind.”  Boz 

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