BOZmail – 24th FEBRUARY

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2019 home of the BOZmail

 

Welcome to the new BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet.

 

SUNDAY FEBRUARY 24th 2019

 

LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Stood at 26.0 points after month 1

Stands at 25.83 points after month 2

 

LESS IS MORE: SUNDAY PLAY

2-20 FONTWELL

Became a give back day after all as the fourth consecutive losing Saturday was posted. Not gone unnoticed. Saturdays and LIM do have a love hate relationship from the past but at the end of the day my call was just a wrong one yesterday. I wasn’t on my own but caught not opposing the fav again and that’s happening too often at the moment. Will be addressed.

Sunday a definite take it steady day and this race does require a call again. Can Diakali be trusted or is he a head case? Wouldn’t want to be taking too short a price and was expecting Henderson’s Whatswrongwithyou to be even money but tissue has them co favs with Amour De Nuit a value looking 11/4 third fav. All three have been on my radar this year and I must admit my leaning remains with the Gary Moore charge whose time when being gifted that race at Cheltenham was seriously impressive. Beaten by Dynamite Dollars and Altior since so can be forgiven the form although the manner of that getting too much head early has been disappointing both times. Jockey not in control and will want to see that addressed a bit this time especially with waiting race Nico in the wings.

So not a race to go overboard on. Steady eddy play.

 

Recommendation:

0.25pt LAY on WHATSWRONGWITHYOU (around 2.4)

0.1pt BACK on DIAKALI

 

BLWM LIM strike rates:  LAYS: 52/72 = 72.22% :   BACKS: 11/48 = 22.91%

 

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NH TO FOLLOW LIST STARTING BANK = 15 points

Stands at 13.9375 points

 

The Bozmail to follow list has a combination of simply the most exciting horses I’ve seen in current race watching and a selection of those I’ve gotten to know over the years who are getting close to the place where they can be expected to win again. The list is ever changing and I have a subs bench of horses waiting to get on all the time. Candidates also disappear with regularity if they underperform or look to have shot their bolt in the win. So a fluid list that you’ll see altering all the time. I’ll log entries on this sheet as they occur and recommend staking advices on the day they are due to run after I’ve had chance to assess the race they are competing in. These selections can be backed to fixed odds or traded either in or before running as is your preference. There is profit whichever way you play over time.

 

From June 2018, The Bozmail switched to recommending trading the majority of these runners, including inplay trading, to back at optimum prices and hedge accordingly when appropriate. Profit figures were increased on previous years because of that so if you feel confident enough to approach like that, by all means. I will certainly be playing that way. I shall however post as fixed odds selections and the service arbiter will settle all results to Betfair SP in line with his fairness to all policy.

 

2019 BOZmail NH JUMPERS TO FOLLOW:

(* indicates early candidates for Cheltenham Festival Glory)

Waiting Patiently * – Entered for Ryanair Chase (Mar 14)

Return Ticket  

Adjourned

Itchy Feet * – Entered for Supreme Novices (Mar 12)

Frodon * – Entered for Ryanair (Mar 14) & Gold Cup (Mar 15)

Ask Paddington

Lady Buttons * – Entered for OLBG (Mar 12) & Queen Mother (Mar 13)

Ribble Valley  

La Bague au Roi *  – Entered for RSA (Mar 13) & JLT (Mar 14)

Benatar

Captain Zebo

Unwin VC – Entered for Wincanton (Feb 27)

Nicolas Chauvin

Vinndication * – Entered for RSA (Mar 13) & JLT (Mar 14)

Valtor – Entered for Albert Bartlett (Mar 15) & Grand National (Apr 6)

Lostintranslation* – Entered in JLT (Mar 14)

Cliffs of Dover

Ebony Gale

Zakharova  

Indian Opera – Entered for OLBG (Mar 12)

Happy Diva

Elegant Escape – Entered for Gold Cup (Mar 15) & Grand National (Apr 6)

Kaiser Black

Le Richebourg* – Entered for the Arkle (Mar 12) & JLT (Mar 14)

Parlour Maid – Entered for Leicester (Feb 26)

Good Man Pat – Entered for the JLT (Mar 14)

All Currencies

Knocknanuss* – Entered in the Arkle (Mar 12)

The Mighty Ash

Pistol Whipped

Cyrname

Rainy Day Dylan

 

TO FOLLOW HORSE TO BET ON SATURDAY:

4-00 FAIRYHOUSE – Magic of Light @ 100/30 or better – 0.35pt WIN – FELL

 

Off my Grand National shortlist and my to follow list for that. Don’t win racesby falling over! Disappointing for the to follow list again which is doing a good job of supplying LIM but struggling a bit now on its own. Something else for me to keep an  eye on.

 

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STAGGERED ACCA RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 10 points

Stands at 9.685 points.

Staggered acca number 6: (LEG 1)

 

3-15 LINGFIELD – WISSAHICKON – at around 1/3  – 0.5pt WIN – WON

 

I claim no credit for that of course but it was pleasant to watch and the way I like to get a free bet.Proper Weapons Grade. I do claim some credit for securing my stake at 1.38.Hope you did as well and I’ll shout of course as soon as second leg

of effort number six emerges.

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Good Luck with your bets.

 

BOZ

 

The BOZmail golden rules:

 

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(that’s my job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges)

5/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been my mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year I pack in.

 

I play cautiously and strategically with bank management also always in mind. The staggered acca is the attempt to win large from small stake. The LIM is the cashbuilder to gradually accumulate profit over a 12 month period.

 

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