BOZmail 23rd APRIL

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet. 

THURSDAY APRIL 23rd  2020 

*************************************************

 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Currently standing at 22.9362 points (temporarily suspended)

*************************************************

TENNIS & TO FOLLOW HORSE BACK/TRADE STARTING BANK = 8 points

Currently standing at 10.4606 points

*************************************************

OCCASIONAL ACCA STARTING BANK = 5 points

Currently standing at 4.90 points

*************************************************

BOZmail 2020 cycle current overall profit = +5.2968 points

************************************************************************

LESS IS MORE: (temporarily suspended)

LIM 2020 Strike Rates: Lays: 23/36 = 63.88%  Backs: 9/26 = 34.61%

With thanks to those BOZmailers who have been mailing in the past few days with views on whether we should keep going during this crisis period. Things haven’t gone well this month – with my health and the sparsity of choice afforded by the US racing only position – and my lack of back knowledge there has been exposed a tad in recent days. The Boz does not find being a quitter easy and as an old drama queen, I am very infused with the show must go on philosophy to life in general never mind just horse racing. But I am also a realist and very proud of the LIM record and reputation so I have no wish to jeopardise that. Why I set Crisis corner staking levels so low and the poor month has only made a £6 dent to the £300- £500+ position we found ourselves in when UK racing ceased on March 17th. Given that we shall be extending to make the time up when UK racing resumes, I think we can agree no great damage done.

LIM was not designed to fit US racing however and I’m inclined to agree for now with those calling for a proper suspension to betting until UK racing returns.I know some of you don’t agree with that position and as I say, the show must go on is very much in my blood and so I will be planning other content for the BOZmail for the days ahead. Just not LIM style tipping which will be reserved for when we get our UK racing back.

And I may not post every day. Just when I have something worthwhile to share and/or say. I will keep on the lookout for a good winner where I feel I have the strength required but of course those inclined to be patient and wait for the return of LIM can simply ignore it!. 

There are other BOZ approaches as well as LIM! That tends to be the daily one though. Other trusted approaches can be more sporadic and with very little to choose from, they will only appear as and when. Starting with a US horses to follow list for which I have one entry today as you will see below.

Til then, stay safe and here’s to protecting our profits and keeping the show on the road.

Cheers

BOZ 

US HORSES TO FOLLOW:

Staunch Elaborator

BOZ’s share for Thursday:

I remain in practice/data collection with the dog racing system in Australia. Haven’t done every day but continuing watching and interested to hear from anyone else doing same. I continue with my strict practice of reaching a £40 daily target (plus or minus) spending as little time as is called for in front of the screen. This is my Wednesday record – just 43 minutes of action – and the results overall remain very positive with 54 plus days and 10 minus days on the scorecard so far. A question mainly of whether or not a negative streak occurs. Twelve months required to ascertain that but no sign of it so far. The premise is holding up ok.


Greyhound RacingShowing 1 – 4 of 4 markets


MarketStart timeSettled date Profit/loss (£)
Greyhound Racing / Ball (AUS) 22nd Apr : R10 390m Heat22-Apr-20 13:0122-Apr-20 13:02 27.09
Greyhound Racing / Rock (AUS) 22nd Apr : R10 407m Gr522-Apr-20 12:5722-Apr20 12:59 0.45
Greyhound Racing / Ball (AUS) 22nd Apr : R9 390m Heat22-Apr-20 12:3922-Apr-20 12:41 8.41
Greyhound Racing / Ball (AUS) 22nd Apr : R8 450m Gr4/522-Apr-20 12:1822-Apr-20 12:20 5.61

The Boz’s April US  Racing LIM results:  (£100 bank)

1st:  -£4-85  (-£4-85) Lay @ 2.54 : Back @ 44.0

2nd:  NO BET

3rd: +£0-96  (-£3-89) Lay @ 2.3 : Back @ 8.7

4th: – £2-20  (-£6-09) Lay @ 1.6 : Back @ 14.0

5th: +£0-48  (-£5-61) Lay @ 2.16 : Back @ 5.15

6th: -£2-88   (-£8-49) Lay @ 1.94 : Back @ 13.0

7th: +1-45    (-£7-04) Lay @ 2.5 : Back @ 12.0

8th:  +0.98   (-£6-06) Lay @ 2.3 : Back @ 25.0

9th-12th: NO PLAY DUE TO ILLNESS

13th: +1-96 (-£4-10) Lay @ 2.6 : Back @ 20.0

14th: – 1-96 (-£6-06) Lay @ 1.48 : Back @ 7.2

15th: -3.00 (-£9-06) Lay @ 2.5

16th: NO BET

17th:  +0.98 (-£8-08) Lay@ 3.75 : Back @ 70.0

18th:  -3.25  (-£11-33) Lay@ 1.7 : Back @ 7.6

19th:  +1.96 (-£9-37) Lay @ 3.9

20th:  +1.96 (-£7-41) Lay @ 2.3

21st:  -3.92 (-£11-33) Lay @ 2.96

22nd: NO BET

23rd: NO BET

Crisis Corner LIM Strike Rates: Lays 15/25 = 60% : Backs 0/13 = 0%

Hand in pockets time

BOZ

***************************************************************************************

LIM Monthly Scores:

February: + 1.3496 points

March      : + 1.5866 points

*******************************************************

The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study and watching the markets develop also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill. Remember also that a lay price available at a significantly lower level than stated on the sheet offers opportunity to increase lay stake without increasing calculated safe lay liability. This can be a key profit optimising tool in the long term if your form study agrees with that published by The Boz.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections). 

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management always in mind.”  Boz 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *