BOZMAIL – 22nd NOVEMBER – the 2019 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the new BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet. 




Stands at 60.481 points after month 11 (+40.481 points profit)



Current Total      = +7.5813 points



Current Total      = +14.2557 points






Picked a wrong ‘un again Thursday and nearly had egg all over the mush as serial drifter River Frost came there to win only to jump the last like a dingbat and allow my LIM cover to hang on. Might have to send Ms Jefferson a thank you for that and put Buster Valentine on my Xmas card list!

So suddenly out of form and funny ole game the way this happens. National Hunt of course does have the proviso of not just the best and quickest horse but the necessity to be a good jumper too. Why we love it but sometimes you do understand those punters who claim they’d never back in a race where their considered selection might not finish the race. They do have a point sometimes I reckon as backers of River Frost will testify to!

But jump racing it continues to be for me (despite the nursing early onset of flu this evening. No paddock watching for me tomorrow!) and I’ve swerved the Novice Chase at Ascot which looks very interesting but might be won by the fav – remember the old rule when Henderson runs two in a race though – to go instead where my to follow horse runs.

I’ve tracked Unwin VC for an age now as he came up on my BUMPER to BUMPER trials last year and impressed me immensely as one of those rare sorts who can carry a bumper penalty to successive NH flat race victory. He may need that skill here as he is saddled with top weight for his handicap debut and that has to cast some doubt. Form boosts however are stacking up around him as Saint De Reve won well at Wincanton on Thursday and will make my to follow list also if Unwin VC runs well here. They both ran behind Cat Tiger who has also upheld the form. Perhaps most interesting was seeing Lamanver Pippin win his chase this week. The horse Unwin beat in that initial bumper race.

So very much a horse to follow for me and I look forward to cheering on sure that it’ll pay me profit in the medium to long term. Staying is in the pedigree so this distance will suit and soft ground also holds no worries. Ffos las very much the sort of track for the galloping style too. All in place if that weight doesn’t act as a stopper.

Can’t say I know much about the favourite but I’ve watched the VTR of the Southwell race and you know what I think of Southwell form. This looked impressive because the ground suited I’d say and patently didn’t suit a lot of the others. There’s that penalty to carry too so perfectly happy to oppose Oriental Cross despite the dicey form of laying the past couple of days. Various LIM cover including our old mucker Francky Du Berlais back over hurdles where maybe he’ll eventually belong. Modest stakes though in view of bank management,last two days form and head full of cold! 


0.25pt LAY on ORIENTAL CROSS (around 3.0 : no greater than 3.5)

0.15pt BACK on UNWIN VC (6.0 or bigger)

BLWM LIM strike rates:  LAYS: 198/298 = 66.44% :   BACKS: 53/199 = 26.63%

This month’s scores so far:

1st:    +0.343 (+0.343) Lay @ 2.6

2nd:   +0.245 (+0.588) Lay @ 2.62

3rd:    +0.098 (+0.656) Lay @ 4.2

4th:    NO PLAY DAY

5th:    +0.096 (+0.752) Lay @4.4 : Back @ 3.85

6th:    +0.147 (+0.899) Lay @ 1.75

7th:    +0.196 (+1.095) Lay @ 4.2

8th:    +0.343 (+1.438) Lay @ 2.1

9th:    -0.475 (+0.963) Lay @ 2.9

10th:  -0.3425(+0.6205) Lay @ 1.97 : Back @ 5.0

11th:  +0.144 (+0.7645) Lay @ 2.6 : Back @ 5.0

12th:  +0.196 (+0.9605) Lay @ 3.85

13th:  +0.596 +(1.5565) Lay @ 2.48 : Back @ 5.0

14th:  +0.147 (+1.7035) Lay @ 3.0

15th:   +0.095 (+1.7985) Lay @ 3.2 : Back @ 14.5

16th:   +0.245 (+2.0435) Lay @ 2.6

17th:   +0.143 (+2.1865) Lay @ 2.4 : Back @ 3.0

18th:    -0.332 (+1.8545) Lay @ 1.52 : Backs @6.0 & 26.0

19th:    +0.22 (+2.0745) Lay @ 1.89 : Back @ 36.0

20th:     -0.495 (+1.5795) Lay @ 3.1 : Back @ 8.0

21st:     +0.046(+1.6255) Lay @ 3.8 : Back @ 3.3



Stands at 9.75 points. 



La Bague au Roi – Entered for the King George & The Gold Cup!

Unwin VC


Tea Clipper 

Nube Negra 

Black Op – Entered for Stayers Hurdle (Mar 12)

Verdana Blue – Entered for Champion Hurdle

Maire Banrigh 


Tokaramore – Entered for Musselburgh (Nov 25)

Flic Ou Voyou 

Thyme Hill 


Indian Opera

Lady Bowes 


Vinndication –Entered for King George & Gold Cup!

Lostintranslation – Entered for Haydock (Nov 23),King George,Ryanair & Gold Cup

Cat Tiger 

Welsh Saint 

Normandy Soldier

Ribble Valley

Kid Commando – Entered for Ascot (Nov 23)

Up The Straight

Flaming Charmer




1-20 KAIZER – 0.25pt BACK @ 9/2

(Backed @ 11.0 : hedged @ 7.0) P/L = 0

Not fancied much in the market and I got 10/1 easy last night (13.5 at its peak) and as he stayed on into third at the business end, easy hedge. Never really looked like winning to me and I’ll be interested to see if they stay with the flat. Back over the jumps for me but I’ll follow either way. The horse likes to run at his modest level. My sort of horse.


PLANS for the 2020 BOZmail:

The main development for next year is an annual subscription service only which will become available for purchase from December 1st 2019 and will be limited to first 150 purchasers. Membership will be closed when that number is reached or on January 31st 2020. Activity will begin on 1st February 2020.

The 2020 service will not be covering horseracing during January 2020 nor September 2020 as statistics have shown these to be negative months for LIM.

The 2020 BOZmail cycle will thus be a 10 month cycle completing on December 31st 2020.

The reason for annual subscription membership only is so that all members will be at same bank management level throughout. This enables The Boz to practice greater profit reinvestment in his staking levels (thus increasing overall profitability). Something that has not been possible in the 2019 cycle where new members were joining all the time and members were thus at varying bank levels throughout – leading The Boz to be more cautious in his staking levels than was ideal.

Membership of the 2020 BOZmail is recommended for those with some experience of how the service works although new members will be admitted up to the subscription closing date on January 31st 2020 if places are still available. First chance to purchase subscription however will be made to current members only. The service will only be advertised to non members after December 31st 2019 if some places are still available. The capping of numbers for the service is hopefully self explanatory to those who have experience of the service.

There will be some changes to content although the main focus will remain on the daily LIM service and the to follow trading advices in UK horse racing. Tennis coverage of the women’s Grand Slams will be limited to Wimbledon and the French Open only in 2020. There will be ad hoc accumulator advices throughout the cycle as they arise. The staggered acca approach practised in 2019 however will be discontinued. Simply hasn’t been as successful as hoped.

Never afraid to cull its dead wood is the BOZmail!

There are plans to introduce a paddock watching element to the service and to organise various days at the races during the year for those interested in advancing paddock watching skills and using these as an enhancement to their punting profitability generally. Details of these days will be available to BOZmail annual subscriber members only and will come at no extra charge (other than responsibility for paying own course entrance fee). The Boz is also publishing a guide to UK paddock watching in 2020 and will thus be in attendance at all UK racecourses at some point during the year collecting material for the book.

If you have any questions or queries about 2020 BOZmail annual membership at this stage, please feel free to contact The BOZ direct as always via email ( TGH Trading will be in touch in the coming weeks with personal invites to all current members to purchase first chance 2020 membership detailing cost etc. Opening date for purchasing 2020 membership will be December 1st 2019. First come,first served. 

With thanks to all who have supported the service in 2019 and here’s to a highly profitable and enjoyable 2020!



 Good Luck with your bets.


The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. As from March 2019 onwards, advised not to take BETFAIR SP prices on lays following some adverse returns therein over the January/February period. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) within the published parameters when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections). 

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management also always in mind. The staggered acca is the attempt to win large from small stake. The LIM is the cashbuilder to gradually accumulate profit over a 12 month period.”  Boz 

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