BOZmail – 22nd FEBRUARY

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2019 home of the BOZmail

 

Welcome to the new BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet.

 

FRIDAY FEBRUARY 22nd 2019

 

LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Stood at 26.0 points after month 1

Stands at 25.83 points after month 2

 

LESS IS MORE: FRIDAY PLAY

2-30 CATTERICK

This is an LIM play to back one of our to follow horses – Indian Opera who is dropped back down in class after finishing 29 lengths behind Lady Buttons in a Grade 2 LTO after setting the pace and proving once more that she has decent speed for her correct grade. Still holds an entry in the OLBG although that would seem ambitious now but speed figures still hold up. Certainly in the context of this race. My only doubt is the first time out in handicap which will require a bit of track craft against experienced handicappers – especially at a fast track like Catterick – but that may also prove to be something that suits the sort of racer she is. All speed that was used to decent effect in that Lady Buttons race remembering of course that Lady B is my big dark horse hope for the upcoming Cheltenham Festival. Settled on my ante-post acca now which will be publishing on this page in the coming days.

Indian Opera should race best from the front again and has a weak fav in the race to enable us to pay for the punt with a lay on Always Resolute who has the triple whammy of negatives in carrying a penalty for LTO success over a trip shorter than has been ideal and from a stable on the cold list.

We have He’s a Goer – who didn’t do as badly in his first handicap as form suggests – as cover for our lay alongside Ninepointsixthree who is marginally held on time figures but has potential for improvement if able to overcome the penalty based on a long margin win LTO.

Indian Opera’s front running speed for me to further frank that Zakharova bumper form.

 

Recommendation:

0.25pt LAY on ALWAYS RESOLUTE (around 2.5)

0.2pt BACK on INDIAN OPERA

 

BLWM LIM strike rates:  LAYS: 51/70 = 72.85% :   BACKS: 10/46 = 21.73%

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NH TO FOLLOW LIST STARTING BANK = 15 points

Stands at 14.2875 points

 

The Bozmail to follow list has a combination of simply the most exciting horses I’ve seen in current race watching and a selection of those I’ve gotten to know over the years who are getting close to the place where they can be expected to win again. The list is ever changing and I have a subs bench of horses waiting to get on all the time. Candidates also disappear with regularity if they underperform or look to have shot their bolt in the win. So a fluid list that you’ll see altering all the time. I’ll log entries on this sheet as they occur and recommend staking advices on the day they are due to run after I’ve had chance to assess the race they are competing in. These selections can be backed to fixed odds or traded either in or before running as is your preference. There is profit whichever way you play over time.

 

From June 2018, The Bozmail switched to recommending trading the majority of these runners, including inplay trading, to back at optimum prices and hedge accordingly when appropriate. Profit figures were increased on previous years because of that so if you feel confident enough to approach like that, by all means. I will certainly be playing that way. I shall however post as fixed odds selections and the service arbiter will settle all results to Betfair SP in line with his fairness to all policy.

 

2019 BOZmail NH JUMPERS TO FOLLOW:

(* indicates early candidates for Cheltenham Festival Glory)

Waiting Patiently * – Entered for Ryanair Chase (Mar 14)

Return Ticket  

Adjourned

Itchy Feet * – Entered for Supreme Novices (Mar 12) & Kempton (Feb 23)

Frodon * – Entered for Ryanair (Mar 14) & Gold Cup (Mar 15)

Ask Paddington

Lady Buttons * – Entered for OLBG (Mar 12) & Queen Mother (Mar 13)

Ribble Valley  

La Bague au Roi *  – Entered for RSA (Mar 13) & JLT (Mar 14)

Benatar

Captain Zebo

Magic of Light  – Entered for  Grand National (Apr 6) & Fairyhouse (Feb 23)

Unwin VC – Entered for Wincanton (Feb 27)

Nicolas Chauvin

Vinndication * – Entered for RSA (Mar 13) & JLT (Mar 14)

Valtor – Entered for Albert Bartlett (Mar 15) & Grand National (Apr 6)

Lostintranslation* – Entered in JLT (Mar 14)

Cliffs of Dover

Ebony Gale

Zakharova  

Indian Opera – Entered for OLBG (Mar 12)

Happy Diva

Elegant Escape – Entered for Gold Cup (Mar 15) & Grand National (Apr 6)

Kaiser Black – Entered for Naas (Feb 24)

Le Richebourg* – Entered for the Arkle (Mar 12) & JLT (Mar 14)

Parlour Maid – Entered for Leicester (Feb 26)

Good Man Pat – Entered for the JLT (Mar 14) & Kempton (Feb 23)

All Currencies

Knocknanuss* – Entered in the Arkle (Mar 12)

The Mighty Ash

Pistol Whipped

Cyrname – Entered for Kempton (Feb 23)

Rainy Day Dylan

 

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STAGGERED ACCA RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 10 points

Stands at 9.5 points.

Staggered acca number 6:

 

Am tracking a possible weapons grade starter for Saturday this week.

Busy weekend ahead based on to follow entries aswell!

 

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Good Luck with your bets.

 

BOZ

 

The BOZmail golden rules:

 

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(that’s my job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges)

5/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been my mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year I pack in.

 

I play cautiously and strategically with bank management also always in mind. The staggered acca is the attempt to win large from small stake. The LIM is the cashbuilder to gradually accumulate profit over a 12 month period.

 

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