BOZmail – 22nd December (part 2)

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2019 home of the BOZmail

 

Welcome to the new BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet.

 

SATURDAY DECEMBER 22nd 2018 (PART 2)

 

LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

 

LESS IS MORE: SATURDAY PLAY(part 2)

17-25 TAMPA BAY DOWNS

I promised yer a Xmas bonus and here it is. The first race at Tampa Bay Downs tonight where I take on the expected favourite Thornton ridden by top jock Samy Camacho. All the five against can be given a chance with Caramelo the likely serious value. An inconsistent sort however so just one to have onside along with Perp who won well LTO and takes a slight step down in class here which may pay dividends.

My back fancy however is the old boy Evan’s Calling who was 3.8 lengths behind Thornton LTO but gets 3lb here and was still winding up and getting back to winning form last time after a month long break. The clue to the fact that they are going for it this time is in the booking of senior jock Jose Ferrer. He of the don’t move a muscle unless you have to variety if you watch your US racing.

See how it goes. There will be more of these in the New Year if there is an appetite for US racing amongst readers as The Boz likes his LIM in America where the standardisation of tracks and sectional timing makes form study a joy.

 

We ended a tough week in the UK with a couple of ship steadying lays that were The Boz playing to his strengths of bank management and Lay strike rate and the lack of backed winners is obviously not ideal but no panic. It is something that happens with LIM as we seek to beat the book and in many ways is the reasoning behind it as a device to pay for punts with money won laying.

Always happier staking with bookmaker’s money me!

 

Next post will be on Xmas Day evening after all the pud and turkey are digested and the excitement that is Boxing Day racing has been investigated!

 

Have a happy holiday.

 

BOZ

 

Recommendation:

0.25pt LAY on THORNTON

0.15pt BACK on EVAN’S CALLING

 

BLWM LIM strike rates:  LAYS: 16.5/22 = 75% :  BACKS: 1/14 = 7.14%

 

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STAGGERED ACCA RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 10 points

 

STAGGERED ACCA NUMBER 2:

(remember that stake of successful first leg bet is always returned directly to bank and that stake for leg two is simply the winnings from leg one.)

 

Waiting Patiently on the exchanges at 6.2 after King George entry confirmed today. I place my 0.1pt at that price now as the second leg of acca number two.

 

Good Luck with your bets.

 

BOZ

 

The BOZmail golden rules:

 

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(that’s my job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a price. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges)

5/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been my mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year I pack in.

 

I play cautiously and strategically with bank management also always in mind. The staggered acca is the attempt to win large from small stake. The LIM is the cashbuilder to gradually accumulate profit over a 12 month period.

 

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