BOZmail – 20th JANUARY

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2019 home of the BOZmail

 

Welcome to the new BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet.

 

SUNDAY JANUARY 20th 2019

 

LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Stands at 25.5 points after month 1

 

LESS IS MORE: SUNDAY PLAY

2-00 AYR

Pleased with Magic of Light pick which looks good for the OLBG at Cheltenham aswell now if that is the planned route.

Keeping it tight for Sunday with January still proving very in and out and two caveats for the Sunday race from limited choice. Firstly I do have a poor record second guessing the Skelton yard who I studied for 18 months when I lived close by at Dad’s house but never really got to grips with. Back them they lose, lay them they win type thing. Destrier travels a long way and his LTO form has been boosted which is the other caveat but I’m in the lay camp. Too short at 7/4 and you know what I think of Southwell form. Rarely holds up. Reivers Lad much more solid on my figures and Richards yard remain in tremendous form. His LTO form also boosted.

Cover aswell from the chase debutantes Sam’s Gunner and Tonto’s Spirit both getting weight. Can be competitive if jumping ok. So simple lay on Destrier the play.

 

Recommendation:

0.25pt LAY on DESTRIER

 

BLWM LIM strike rates:  LAYS: 36/44 = 81.81% :   BACKS: 7/27 = 25.92%

 

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NH TO FOLLOW LIST STARTING BANK = 15 points

Stands at 14.8 points

 

The Bozmail to follow list has a combination of simply the most exciting horses I’ve seen in current race watching and a selection of those I’ve gotten to know over the years who are getting close to the place where they can be expected to win again. The list is ever changing and I have a subs bench of horses waiting to get on all the time. Candidates also disappear with regularity if they underperform or look to have shot their bolt in the win. So a fluid list that you’ll see altering all the time. I’ll log entries on this sheet as they occur and recommend staking advices on the day they are due to run after I’ve had chance to assess the race they are competing in. These selections can be backed to fixed odds or traded either in or before running as is your preference. There is profit whichever way you play over time.

 

From June 2018, The Bozmail switched to recommending trading the majority of these runners, including inplay trading, to back at optimum prices and hedge accordingly when appropriate. Profit figures were increased on previous years because of that so if you feel confident enough to approach like that, by all means. I will certainly be playing that way. I shall however post as fixed odds selections and the service arbiter will settle all results to Betfair SP in line with his fairness to all policy.

 

2019 BOZmail NH JUMPERS TO FOLLOW:

(* indicates early candidates for Cheltenham Festival Glory)

 

RIP Willoughby Court – sad news indeed.

 

Waiting Patiently * – Entered for Leopardstown (Feb 2 & 3)

Rebel Og  

Return Ticket  

Adjourned

Dynamite Dollars  

Itchy Feet *

Frodon *

Ask Paddington

Lady Buttons * – Entered for Huntingdon (Jan 25)

Ribble Valley  

La Bague au Roi *  – Entered for Leopardstown (Feb 3)

Benatar *

Captain Zebo

Magic of Light*  – Entered for Huntingdon (Jan 25)

Unwin VC

Nicolas Chauvin – Entered for Sedgefield (Jan 21)

Vinndication *

Valtor

Ruby Yeats

Lostintranslation*

Cliffs of Dover*

Ebony Gale

Zakharova  

Indian Opera

 

NH TO FOLLOW RUNNERS ON SATURDAY JAN 19:

3-00 ASCOT – BENATAR – 0.1pt @ 9/2 or better – LOST

Typical January result!

 

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AUSTRALIAN OPEN TENNIS – Saturday night at Midnight:

 

1st Quarter: SERENA WILLIAMS @ 6/5

2nd Quarter: MADISON KEYS @ 5/1 (6.6 on the exchanges)     

3rd Quarter: MARIA SHARAPOVA @ 3/1  saver: AMANDA ANISIMOVA @ 11/2

4th Quarter: SLOANE STEPHENS @ 5/2   saver: DANIELLE COLLINS @ 10/1

4 x 0.25pt singles with a 0.1pt single on each named saver. 4 x 0.05pt trebles on the four main selections and a 0.05pt four timer for a total spend of 1.45 points.

 

You can hedge a bit of your first and second quarter singles now if you are so inclined as Serena goes odds on and Madison is down to 11/4 and favourite to beat Svitolina who had serious wobbles against Zhang but did finally squeak through. I’m inclined to leave things as they are for now. May hedge before the quarter finals but happy to shout for USA for now. Sharapova is a good 6/5 to beat Barty tonight and I like Collins’ price v Kerber but in general I have things covered as I want them and having predicted 13/16 in the last 32 fixtures let’s hope I haven’t peaked too early! Watch and see the tennis for next two nights now. Catch up on beautiful shut eye!

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STAGGERED ACCA RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 10 points

Stands at 9.5 points.

Staggered acca number 5:

 

Awaiting the emergence of the next weapons grade selection before setting out again

on leg 1.

 

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Good Luck with your bets.

 

BOZ

 

The BOZmail golden rules:

 

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(that’s my job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a price. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges)

5/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been my mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year I pack in.

 

I play cautiously and strategically with bank management also always in mind. The staggered acca is the attempt to win large from small stake. The LIM is the cashbuilder to gradually accumulate profit over a 12 month period.

 

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