BOZmail 20th JANUARY

JANUARY 2021 – 31 day extension to

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet

WEDNESDAY JANUARY 20th  2021

EXTENSION DAY 20:

LESS IS MORE

2-40 CHEPSTOW

Horrible month January! I seriously hate it! Swallow the country up in a dose of Bubonic plague and I won’t be playing in it again! I hereby swear on my Mother’s Avon Catalogue that I will not be running LIM next January come hell or high water!! 

So I remain in trying to bust the losing streak mode and trying fairly hard to find any kind of race I have even a smidgeon of interest in playing in. Should they actually deem to run it! Roll on Ascot at the weekend which at least does signify the return of a few decent horses. Weather forecast however…….not so great!

Caswell Bay my idea of a value bet here but I’m playing only to try and bust the losing streak again looking at the four at the top of the betting and laying the one with the most negatives. Nightboattoclyro has the penalty to carry, is raised in class and looks least likely to enjoy the heavy ground. Stable and jockey also out of form and whilst all candidates do have mark negatives so that it’s hardly a bombproof pick again, it will do purely in the category of busting the streak. If you want to take more risk, and can cope mentally with a seventh losing day in a row, you could forego any laying and have the same kind of smidgeon stake backing Caswell Bay at a value price. His mark is also high but he has a big ground and trainer/jockey positive and undoubtedly represents the value.

Now just to get them to agree to stage the meeting……!

Recommendation:

0.05pt LAY on NIGHTBOATTOCLYRO (around 3.8)

BOZmail 2020 cycle : 2020 overall score = +59.4102points

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Currently stands at : 33.8211 points (+13.8211 points)

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LIM 2020 Strike rates: Lays 134/194 = 69.07%  Backs : 38/126 = 30.15%

LIM Monthly Scores:

February: + 1.3496 points

March  : + 1.5866 points

UK RACING LOCKDOWN

April     : – 0.1733 points

May      : – 0.8359 points

UK RACING RESTARTED

June     : + 0.0428 points

July      : + 0.8046 points 

August :  +1.9726 points   (+4.747 points)

September : +1.0071 points (+5.7541 points)

October : + 2.1487 points (+7.9028 points)

November : +4.468 points (+12.3708 points)

December :  +0.8487 points (+13.2195 points)

January LIM Score:

1st:      +0.098 (+0.098) Lay @ 2.75

2nd:     +0.049 (+0.147) Lay @ 2.5 : Back @ 7.0

3rd:      +0.098 (+0.245) Lay @ 2.3

4th:      +0.147 (+0.392) Lay @ 2.6

5th:      NO BET

6th:      +0.098 (+0.49)   Lay @ 3.7 (averaged)

7th:      RACING ABANDONED

8th:      NO BET

9th:      +0.588 (+1.078) Lay @ 2.4 : Back @ 11.0

10th:    +0.098 (+1.176) Lay @ 2.26 : Back @ 5.0

11th:    +0.1176 (+1.2936) Lay @ 2.9

12th:     -0.218  (+1.0756) Lay @ 2.4 : Back @ 61.0

13th:     -0.131  (+0.9446) Lay @ 1.81 : Back @ 8.0

14th:     -0.1       (+0.8446) Back @ 3.1

15th:     -0.075   (+0.7696) Lays @ 2.0 & 3.8 : Back @ 18.0

16th:     -0.068   (+0.7016) Lay @ 2.06 : Back @ 4.0

17th:     NO BET

18th:     -0.1       (+0.6016) Back @ 2.8

19th:     RACING ABANDONED

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