BOZmail – 20th DECEMBER

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2019 home of the BOZmail

 

Welcome to the new BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet.

 

THURSDAY DECEMBER 20th 2018

 

LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

 

LESS IS MORE: WEDNESDAY PLAY

1-30 HEXHAM

Wednesday’s loss repaired but still Saturday’s to work on and the seconditis and the mentioning but not backing the winner continues. This does happen in LIM where I am always looking for a value back over an obvious one but even so, this is a long stretch without success when the lay rate % is 10% up over average. So putting my back into trying to land a back I am and going dutch on Thursday taking both Micky Hammond’s Bulkov and The Oven Chips man’s Kelka to lower the colours of the Irish import Niven who is inferior on my time figures to both and also has a giant question mark over ability in the ground. Especially over fences although has won on it on the flat.

The favourite has to give weight to Kelka whose run behind Lady Buttons is the best form on offer here and although 25 lengths adrift that day, made a stopping jumping error at the 7th when in the lead and can be excused the distance if the jumping has been sharpened.

Jumping a bit of an issue for all of these but Bulkov boasts some good novice hurdle form on the ground and hails from a yard/jockey combo that does well at the track. It will probably come down to who jumps best on this stiff track in the conditions so playing the prices is paramount. Strategic effort required.

 

Recommendation:

0.5pt LAY on NIVEN

0.15pt BACK on KELKA

0,1pt BACK on BULKOV

 

BLWM LIM strike rates:  LAYS: 14.5/19 = 76.31% :   BACKS: 1/13 = 7.69%

 

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STAGGERED ACCA RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 10 points

 

STAGGERED ACCA NUMBER 2:

(remember that stake of successful first leg bet is always returned directly to bank and that stake for leg two is simply the winnings from leg one.)

 

Not sure if that constitutes a shock win as Dolan simply outplayed our man and the Boz’s career as a darts tipster is shortlived! I’m actually considering a playing career as even I can play better than Cullen did and there speaks a man who learned his darts as a groupie for the Headless Cross darts team. My playing record? One match. One defeat!

I do however understand betting and you see now why I took the cautious option when offered. Hope you took the hint and have returned your second staggered acca stake to bank so it remains intact. And now have 0.1pt to plonk on a second leg opportunity when it occurs. I’m tracking a horse and he’s due to run on Boxing Day.

His name engenders my motto – Waiting Patiently.More on that as a free bet in the next few days. It could of course be a third leg bet if something else emerges meantime.

 

Good Luck with your bets.

 

BOZ

 

The BOZmail golden rules:

 

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(that’s my job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a price. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges)

5/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been my mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year I pack in.

 

I play cautiously and strategically with bank management also always in mind. The staggered acca is the attempt to win large from small stake. The LIM is the cashbuilder to gradually accumulate profit over a 12 month period.

 

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