BOZmail – 1st AUGUST

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2019 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the new BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet. 

THURSDAY AUGUST 1st  2019 

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Stands at 55.451 points after month 8 (+35.451 points profit)

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2019 BOZMAIL TENNIS WINNINGS:

Current Total      = +8.3313 points

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LESS IS MORE: THURSDAY PLAY

8-00 EPSOM

Sadly I jinxed Wednesday’s play going on about the good lay record (and picked the wrong one of the Johnson two!) and had I seen the change in the weather/ground and Braid Blue’s high knee action, I might have gone the other way. The way the market followed me in before the off, I thought perhaps I’d got it right. But there you go. Never pays to get cocky or go gung ho. Caution the way forward! Got my best price however and maintained a 7 point plus for the month. Clean slate again now. Older but wiser!

Think this might be a good one to start the new month with. City Wanderer gets weight for age and good times from his Chester win but has penalty to carry again and is very short at odds on whereas Data Protection is thus value, is very well handicapped on old form, has course and distance win on his record and looked to be moving to himself again LTO where the form has been seriously franked since.

No brainer to start the new month!

Recommendation:

0.3pt LAY on CITY WANDERER (around 1.96 : no greater than 2.4)

0.25pt BACK on DATA PROTECTION (around 3.75 or better) 

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31st:     -0.425 (+7.203) Lay @ 1.85

This month plays so far:

BLWM LIM strike rates:  LAYS: 137/202 = 67.82% :   BACKS: 41/138 = 29.71%

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SUMMER NH HORSES TO FOLLOW for TRADING or LIM PURPOSES:

Commodore Barry

Kaizer 

Caius Marcius

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HORSES TO FOLLOW ON THE FLAT:

Eightsome Reel 

Dee Ex Bee 

Sir Dragonet – Entered for Lepoardstown (Aug 8)& Curragh (Aug 16) & York(Aug 21) 

Raise You

Charle Brune – Entered for Galway (Aug 4)

Ocean Paradise 

Maydanny

Roseman – Entered in the Juddmonte (Aug 21)

Pour Me A Drink 

Gold Stick 

Light Up Our Stars – Entered for Doncaster (Aug 3)

Waldpfad – Entered in the Haydock Sprint Cup (Sep 7)

Miss Celestial – Entered for Chester (Aug 5)

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STAGGERED ACCA RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 10 points

Stands at 10.00 points.

Staggered acca number 15: (LEG 1)

Will shout if or when another starter emerges.

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Good Luck with your bets.

BOZ

The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. As from March 2019 onwards, advised not to take BETFAIR SP prices on lays following some adverse returns therein over the January/February period. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) within the published parameters when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections). 

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management also always in mind. The staggered acca is the attempt to win large from small stake. The LIM is the cashbuilder to gradually accumulate profit over a 12 month period.”  Boz 

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