BOZmail 15th AUGUST

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet. 

SATURDAY AUGUST 15th  2020 

*************************************************

 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Currently stands at : 22.1922 points (+2.1922 points)

*************************************************

TENNIS & TO FOLLOW HORSE BACK/TRADE STARTING BANK = 8 points

Currently stands at : 14.5927 points (+6.5927 points)

*************************************************

OCCASIONAL ACCA STARTING BANK = 5 points

Currently stands at : 4.705 points (-0.295 points)

*************************************************

SPECIAL ROYAL ASCOT fixed odds bets = (-0.554 points)

******************************************

Post Lockdown Litmus Test Bozbets = (+0.085 points)

*************************************************

Local Track Factor Section = (-0.53 points)

*************************************************

BOZmail 2020 cycle PART ONE(1/2 – 31/5) overall profit  = +4.2876 points

                                      PART TWO(1/6 – 31/1 )  overall profit = +7.4909 points

                                          BOZmail 2020 overall score = +11.7785 points

PART ONE LIM 2020 Strike Rates: Lays: 25/41 = 60.97%  Backs: 9/29 = 31.03%

PART TWO LIM 2020 Strike rates: Lays 41/52 = 78.84%  Backs : 7/24 = 29.16%

************************************************************************

LESS IS MORE:

NO BET ON SATURDAY

Friday’s Recommendation:

0.25pt LAY on CHASE THE DOLLAR (around even money. Take at shorter if possible and hedge out as appropriate when preferential odds are offered)

Laid @ 1.94 : hedged 0.22pt @ 2.2 : P/L =  +0.0294pts

Thanks to those who emailed in regarding Friday’s play to say they thought I should have been going traditional LIM on that. Some before the race and some after. Both of you right and it hasn’t gone unnoticed. I have started improving on my flat race reads but can’t say I still approach the discipline with any degree of confidence. My confidence in the Johnston horse was that the price would drift in light of Calcutta Cup’s presence. That proved correct and we are perhaps shifting toward a time when I’ll risk a traditional LIM on the flat again soon. But not today! Don’t like the look of any of Saturday’s LIM qualifiers – not even for trading purpose. And I’m boasting 100% success rate still on LIM trades for 2020 so no desire to jeopardise that on a dodgy day when four days of NH follow in the wake! Already stuck into studying Market Rasen where we will have three bets. That should be enough for us for now and worry not, I am looking at starting to up our profit growth rate now for the rest of this month.

Those flatbreads amongst you might take solace from the fact that after these four days of NH, we then have Muker at York which is a treat to savour as the little guy’s form took another a boost on Friday with Gumdrop’s success at Chester.

LIM scores for August:

1st :  NO BET

2nd : +0.0886  (+0.0886) Lay @ 1.93 : Back @ 7.0

3rd:   +0.0245  (+0.1131) Lay @ 3.75

4th:   +0.385    (+0.4981) Lays @ 3.75 & 3.3 :Backs @ 15.0 & 3.75

5th:   +0.0671 (+0.5652) Lay @ 2.38 & 14.0 : Backs @ 19.0 & 4.0

6th:    NON RUNNER

7th:    +0.049  (+0.6142) Lay @ 4.4 : Back @ 7.0

8th:    -0.475 (+0.1392) Lay @ 2.5 : Back @ 6.4

9th:    NO BET

10th:  +0.441 (+0.5802) Lay @ 3.75 : Back @ 8.0

11th:  +0.686 (+1.2662) Back @ 6.6

12th:  +0.0392 (+1.3054) Lay @ 3.75 : Back @ 5.9 

13th:   NON RUNNER

14th:   +0.0294 (+1.3348) Lay @ 1.94 : Back @ 2.2

15th:   NO BET

******************************************************************

BOZmail 2020 – Horses to follow on the flat:

Muker – Entered for York ( Aug 20)

Ransom

Uncle Jumbo – Entered for York (Aug 20) & Doncaster (Sep 10)

On My Way 

Battleground – Entered for  Curragh (Aug 22&Sep13)

Royal Air Force – Entered in the 2021 Derby (June 5)

Alicestar 

Custard The Dragon

BOZmail 2020 – NH Horses to follow (Part Two):

Check My Pulse – Entered for Uttoxeter (Aug 17)

Balagan – Entered for Market Rasen (Aug 16) & Uttoxeter (Aug 17) 

Ashutor – Entered for Stratford (Aug 19)

Sangha River – Entered for Uttoxeter (Aug 17) & Stratford (Aug 19)

Captain Tom Cat 

Lord Condi – Entered for Uttoxeter (Aug 17) & Fontwell (Aug 18)

Saint Sam (FR)

Rubytwo 

Pisgah Pike – Entered for Uttoxeter (17) & Fontwell (18) & Stratford (19)

El Presente – Entered for Market Rasen (Aug 16)

Hiconic

Young Wolf

Sirobbie

Little Jessture – Entered for Stratford (Aug 19)

Soldier of Love 

Lady Bowes 

Captain Zebo

Defi Sacre

Sporting Press

Global Tour – Entered for Stratford (Aug 19)

Samsons Reach

Leoncavallo

Longhouse Sale

Oscar Rose

 **********************************************************************************

LIM Monthly Scores:

February: + 1.3496 points

March      : + 1.5866 points

UK RACING LOCKDOWN

April         : – 0.1733 points

May          : – 0.8359 points

UK RACING RESTARTED

June         : + 0.0428 points

July          : + 0.8046 points  (+2.7744points)

The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study and watching the markets develop also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill. Remember also that a lay price available at a significantly lower level than stated on the sheet offers opportunity to increase lay stake without increasing calculated safe lay liability. This can be a key profit optimising tool in the long term if your form study agrees with that published by The Boz.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections). 

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management always in mind.”  Boz 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *