BOZmail – 13th SEPTEMBER

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2019 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the new BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet. 

FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 13th  2019 

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Stands at 57.0715 points after month 9 (+37.0715 points profit)

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2019 BOZMAIL TENNIS WINNINGS:

Current Total      = +7.5813 points

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THE BOZ’s 2019 TO FOLLOW & TENNIS TRADES P/L:

Current Total      = +11.8667 points

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BOZMAIL 2019 COMBINED PROFIT TOTAL = +56.5195 points

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LESS IS MORE: FRIDAY PLAY

4-40 CHESTER

Hereby is a no brainer lay at odds on. I make it a 5lb turnaround on their last meeting at Chester where Gossip Column was only beaten a head.Both won NTO. What’s more, the Shortlist system ignores both of them and picks the other three suggesting quite a competitive race. Hereby is progressive but at odds on simply has to be opposed by four others who all have course and distance form. The good doctor’s race to carve up I’d have said.

Recommendation:

0.35pt LAY on HEREBY (around 1.8 ; no greater than 2.0)

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This month plays so far:

1st:    -0.24 (-0.24)  Lay @ 1.4 : Back @ 34.0  

2nd:   -0.25 (-0.49)  Back @ 2.2

3rd:    NO PLAY DAY 

4th:    +0.49 (+0.0) Lay @ 1.9  

5th:    -0.44 (-0.44) Lay @ 1.88    

6th:    -0.19 (-0.63) Lay @ 1.38

7th:    -0.542(-1.172) Lay @ 2.12 : Back @ 9.0

8th:     -0.6 (-1.772) Lay @ 3.0 : Back @ 12.0

9th:     +0.34(-1.432) Lay @ 1.75 : Backs @ 11.0 & 18.0

10th:   -0.483(-1.915) Lay @ 2.38

11th:   +0.095(-1.82) Lay @ 3.6 : Back @ 4.4

12th:   +0.13 (-1.69) Backs @ 4.8 & 4.8

BLWM LIM strike rates:  LAYS: 156/238 = 65.54% :   BACKS: 45/162 = 27.77%

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STAGGERED ACCA RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 10 points

Stands at 10 points. Transferred now to starting bank for SHORTLIST SYSTEM PERMED ACCA BET which will start sometime this month.Still watch only for the time being but encouragement again at Chelmsford on Thursday. Nap selections of the day will be featured in bold. Four out of five this week now and likely to become the way forward in the light of the absence of the Betfair multiple template. Staggered acca due to return next week when the right nap comes along. Occasional Tote Jackpot play from the Shortlist system when the course is the day’s chosen one. In the 15 years of the Shortlist system being published, plenty of subscribers expressed the value of the list informing their play for the day. It did also create occasional gigs for me as guest tipster when parties were being organised for a day at the races. If you want to see it being continually published on here, let me know (garyboswell@hotmail.com). If most prefer the selective Less is More approach, I will stick to making a daily nap from it. Decision made. New factors since the sabbatical in 2017 have helped make the daily nap a stronger grade A type selection. Won’t be every day but good fodder for the staggered acca now I think on. Decision made.

THE BOZMAIL 2019 PERMED ACCA from the Shortlist System for 13/9/19 at Chester:

1-50 Breathalyze

2-25 Know no Limits – Iva Reflection – Powertrain

3-00 Noble Prospector – Torochica – Conundrum

3-30 Sir Maximilian – Moraawed – Gabrial The Saint

4-05* Two Bids – Mayne

4-40 Lorelina – Gabrial The One – Superkid

5-15 Calder Prince – Intense Style – Imperial State 

THE BOZMAIL 2019 PERMED ACCA from the Shortlist System for 12/9/19 at Chelmsford:

5-20* Last Surprise (1st)

5-50* Mitty’s Smile (3rd)  – Silver Samurai (2nd)

6-20 Lovin (U) – Across The Sea (1st)

6-50 Commander Cole (3rd) – Akvavera (U)

7-20 Royal Birth (1st) – Encore D’Or (U) – Sunsprite (NR)

7-50 Brasca (2nd) – Withoutdestination (3rd)

8-20 Sauchiehall Street (3rd) – Conkering Hero (1st) – Sir Gnet (4th)

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SUMMER NH HORSES TO FOLLOW for TRADING or LIM PURPOSES:

Commodore Barry

Kaizer 

Caius Marcius 

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HORSES TO FOLLOW ON THE FLAT:

Eightsome Reel 

Raise You – Entered for Ascot (Oct 19)

Maydanny

Roseman – Entered for Ascot (Oct 19)

Waldpfad  – Entered for Ascot (Oct 19)

Miss Celestial – Entered at Curragh (Sep 28)

Deirdre – Entered at Leopardstown (Sep 14)&Longchamp (Oct 6) &Ascot(Oct 19)

Piedita 

James Watt – Entered for Ayr Gold Cup (Sep 21)

Lord of the Lodge 

Mum’s Tipple – Entered for  Newbury (Sep 21)

 Good Luck with your bets.

BOZ

The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. As from March 2019 onwards, advised not to take BETFAIR SP prices on lays following some adverse returns therein over the January/February period. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) within the published parameters when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections). 

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management also always in mind. The staggered acca is the attempt to win large from small stake. The LIM is the cashbuilder to gradually accumulate profit over a 12 month period.”  Boz 

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