BOZmail 12th JANUARY

JANUARY 2021 – 31 day extension to

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2020 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet

TUESDAY JANUARY 12th  2021

EXTENSION DAY 12:

1-00 WETHERBY

‘Alright Marlene might be out of her depth’ – so says the Sporting Life race reader and they may be right but it’s The Boz’s birthday (a time when traditionally his betting luck usually takes a turn for the worse although often not until the day after – the 13th!) and he fancies a punt on Boycie’s catchphrase. One of my favourite Sitcom characters and so the importance of the horse’s name comes into my reckoning. Never to be ignored and if you haven’t read my piece on the importance of horse’s racing names, shout and I’ll publish on one of the day’s ahead when we have our next no bet day.

For now, all I’ll say is that my luck is still holding at the moment as we hit the twelfth consecutive winning LIM day in the knowledge that my initial wish on Monday was to lay Port of Mars. Hard work on the comparative times on heavy ground did cast some doubt but it was mainly the market that put me off laying it. That was a stroke of luck! Indeed I got the whole day right again with the fav winning the other Beginners Chase of the day at Doncaster. So luck is with us still. Time to buy the lottery ticket or even better, back Alright Marlene at some monstrous price in this Mare’s Novice Chase. My kind of race and although the bookmakers tissue isn’t out yet, I’ve seen 66/1 and 50/1 in the newspaper tissues and that’ll do for me in a four horse race every day of the week!

Does it have a chance though? The honest answer to that is no idea as she’s never jumped a fence under Rules before and didn’t pull up any trees time wise as a Point to Pointer although did win one and also clocked a reasonable time in a novice hurdle at Sedgefield three runs back. Only eight years old so still maturing and you never know, might get the race run to suit.

All probability points to it being between the front three with Vienna Court my slight fav of the three and the once more layably named Lust For Glory my one to take on. That’s a Donald Trump sort of name if ever I heard one so I’ll happily take that to the cleaners! Held on times by Pink Legend (who does have to give weight) and Vienna Court so this really is a classic LIM day with a lay on a too short fav to pay for a wildly speculative whack on a rank outsider. There is the fact also that two of the front three fell over LTO. Might need all three to fall over here but we’ve all seen it happen!

March 2019 the last time it happened on LIM so we are due one and my birthday would be the right day for it – before the post 13th January losing spell sets in!

Two other reasons I love Alright Marlene on paper as a birthday bet. Trainer Jacqueline Coward never has a winner (just 8 in the last 5 years) and jockey John Kington likewise. Real grafter jockey is John. Just ten winners in last five years under Rules. But still riding.

Boy will I enjoy the shout if they bring this one home! Just a real shame they won’t let me go and paddock watch. I did manage a couple in October before they shut us down again. Don’t have any pals on the gates at Wetherby so working from the telly again tomorrow. Am out doing vaccination run driving in the morning as well so it promises to be quite a unique birthday. As was last year when spent at Sedgefield races with a fellow BOZmailer! Seems like centuries ago! Didn’t get a winner that day as I recall (although a couple of nice photos including the front cover pic on my new short story collection if you’ve seen that).

This year, I’m gunning for a 100/1 sting on my Betfair account!

Be Lucky!

Recommendation:

0.12pt LAY on LUST FOR GLORY (around 2.6)

0.05pt BACK on ALRIGHT MARLENE (around 67.0 or as big as you can get!!)

BOZmail 2020 cycle : 2020 overall score = +60.1022points

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Currently stands at : 34.5131 points (+14.5131 points)

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LESS IS MORE

LIM 2020 Strike rates: Lays 134/190 = 70.52%  Backs : 38/120 = 31.66%

LIM Monthly Scores:

February: + 1.3496 points

March  : + 1.5866 points

UK RACING LOCKDOWN

April     : – 0.1733 points

May      : – 0.8359 points

UK RACING RESTARTED

June     : + 0.0428 points

July      : + 0.8046 points 

August :  +1.9726 points   (+4.747 points)

September : +1.0071 points (+5.7541 points)

October : + 2.1487 points (+7.9028 points)

November : +4.468 points (+12.3708 points)

December :  +0.8487 points (+13.2195 points)

January LIM Score:

1st:      +0.098 (+0.098) Lay @ 2.75

2nd:     +0.049 (+0.147) Lay @ 2.5 : Back @ 7.0

3rd:      +0.098 (+0.245) Lay @ 2.3

4th:      +0.147 (+0.392) Lay @ 2.6

5th:      NO BET

6th:      +0.098 (+0.49)   Lay @ 3.7 (averaged)

7th:      RACING ABANDONED

8th:      NO BET

9th:      +0.588 (+1.078) Lay @ 2.4 : Back @ 11.0

10th:    +0.098 (+1.176) Lay @ 2.26 : Back @ 5.0

11th:    +0.1176 (+1.2936) Lay @ 2.9

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