BOZmail – 12th DECEMBER

BETLESSWINMORE.co.uk – the 2019 home of the BOZmail

Welcome to the BOZmail service including the daily LESS IS MORE bet. 

THURSDAY DECEMBER 12th  2019 

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 LESS IS MORE RECOMMENDED STARTING BANK = 20 points

Stands at 64.8785 points after month 12 (+44.8785 points profit)

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STAGGERED ACCA FINAL 2019 P/L SCORE:

= -0.6points

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2019 BOZMAIL TENNIS WINNINGS:

Current Total      = +7.5813 points

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THE BOZ’s 2019 TO FOLLOW & TENNIS TRADES P/L:

Current Total      = +16.1927 points

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BOZMAIL 2019 COMBINED PROFIT TOTAL = +68.0525 points

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LESS IS MORE: THURSDAY PLAY

1-20 WARWICK

Time for a faith in the to follow horse as part of the ever flexible variety of playing the daily LIM. Maire Banrigh jumps to win according to my figures and all known ratings.She’s taking on good ones and fellow winners over a distance further than previous so there is some faith involved that she will stay. Breeding suggests it and best effort so far over the extra furlong at Stratford also suggests it. Seriously exciting horse who jumps for fun and why we follow National Hunt racing. Strap yourself in and enjoy the ride!

Over the past few days I’ve been answering new members queries about the flexibility of the LIM choice each day and how I view it as a pointer to you and how I encourage you to work out your own way to play the race based on your preferences taking my price paramaters only as the guide they are intended as. I have reworded recently to take the suggestion out that they are dictates. They are not. They are my value assessments made 20 odd hours before the race. Market watching does change things and I do play outside the parameters myself sometimes. The rule is get the best price that you can. Avoid silly prices  and always always seek value. Value can change in that 20 hours with market factors often affecting it. I reproduce a question and answer from past couple of days here for general interest and I point also to the price I took on the fav in Wednesday’s play. 2.08 was considerably lower than my expected from the tissue but despite one non runner, my race expectations didn’t change and so taking a larger stake for same liability becomes an option then.

This was something I first brought into my betting approach after a question from a student on the Higher Education betting course I was running at HMP Risley. I taught LIM briefly during that spell to initially supposed gambling addicts with the observation that getting them to focus on just one bet per day would help. I don’t think it was expected that I would teach people to win but of course that’s what happened!! It was a popular course as word got round and some highly intelligent students sat the course. That thing being one of England’s greatest traits that its most intelligent citizens end up as its most notorious criminals! I can vouch for that and it was an ex-Conservative MP in the gaol attending the class who asked whether it was wise to increase stake on a suggested lay if the price was much lower than anticipated when parameters were published. My first thinking on that line when I answered yes, I didn’t see any reason why not. So work out the liability at my suggested around stake and then work out the stake comparable at the beneficial odds you are being offered for sam liability. If you already did that on Wednesday, you seriously outscored what I publish below as the sheet score. Yet more examples of BOZmailers doing much better at LIM than me or the sheet! 

Thought my back was unlucky on Wednesday. Alison Clarke is a young conditional I rate but she was guilty of not taking control of the race when she got to the lead here.

Danny Cook on board would have won the race for us. Jockey can make big difference and did here as he used his strength to take back the lead. In those conditions, it’s where you want to be. Very much a lesson for Alison.

Horse to follow at Warwick tomorrow as well plus my XMAS fable published here for your entertainment as you head to the polling station tomorrow. Be careful what you wish for!!

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Evening Gary,

I'm confused now because the bet for today was to lay Bally Longford “around 2.8, no greater than 3.1“. I'm doing as I'm told on this service and being pretty disciplined so as his price was around 3.5ish when I got the email I put a lay into the market at 3.1 and didn't get matched. I kept it in-running but the price didn't get anywhere near.  In tonight's update you say that you actually layed it at 3.35 which is outside the range you set. The horse didn't complete but anyone following the instructions would not have actually had a bet because the price didn't come into your range.

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Its a fair point  and part of the getting used to me that I'm trying to lose for next year. If you read your BOZmail rule number four, the key phrase is ‘it's a guide rather than a rigid dictate'. I will phrase it differently again as ‘no greater than' is not helpful I concede now for those that like instructions and obeying orders. Too rigid.

Those that know me are versed in the fact that I would never obey orders nor issue them. Just not something I believe in or live my life by. I point you to a selection I've worked out as a play but how you play it is up to you and depends on when you decide to play (given that you receive 12-20 hours before the event and the market during that time is ever changing).

Taking Bally Longford as the example (although there are many differing examples of this over the weeks), I identified him as a lay at the issued tissue price of 7/4. That was a back price set by the industry and can only be taken as a guide for laying given that the lay market forms over the next six hours or so and then right up to race starting time and then again during running. 

Because in jump racing, they can always fall at the first as Bally Longford did, you really want to be on in some form or other before the off. The versions for trading apart, that is your guarantee that you are on. What price you take is not something I have or want control over. I have my own bet to do. I trust you to look at where I've pointed and work out how you are gonna play in relation to what you think of my selection and what prices you are being offered. My guide is a value assessment made by me based on the tissue price at publication and in relation to my form study. At greater than 3.1, Bally Longford was not great value. That doesn't necessarily mean you don't take however if you agree with me that he has strong chance to lose. The price you take is what you are being offered and what you think is ok and value. The value aspect did also change as the market moved him out to as far as 4.9 before the off. That wouldn't have been value in my judgement but my not greater than 3.1 was changing as I saw the drift. Not just me and you and other BOZmailers that didn't fancy him. No-one was backing him.Crucially the stable weren't even on. They knew what we saw. That Quarenta held sway. Considerably so in that ground and over that distance. So with hindsight we know that 4.9 was value. In the market watching process, the drift was widening the parameters for me. I got in at 3.35 where over 2 grand was laid but I would have been prepared to go as far as 3.8 or 3.9 given the trend that was developing. Quarenta was shortening markedly. Down to 2.4 from 3.1. Clear that stable money was going down there as well as other form study money like mine.

So reading the markets becomes part of the value assessment that you make for yourself. My guide is just a starting guide. Always try to better what I say but when that ain't possible, the rule then is get the best price you can. Or, if in doubt, stay out. If that's what you did then no damage done. A missed winner though which in your case will be significant because you were already suffering from a significant missed day.

Part of playing LIM successfully is that you can't miss a day. It has a commitment requirement. Consistency at its core. That's why it don't suit everyone. Not everyone is good at commitment.

And we'll all have different scores with it. What you see on the sheet is just mine. Never top of the league table. Many play it better than me. In a 3 runner at Fontwell in the summer I laid a fav and backed the second fav expecting the race as a ding dong between the two. Which it was. I ignored the third runner. Nearly everyone did. It traded at 51.0. What I missed in the race read was that the ding dong would set the race up for the no hoper up the hill. Second fav did beat fav so I collected on the lay and profited on the race but my selection got chinned on the line by the running on rag as his legs wobbled from the ding dong with the fav and wiseboy BOZmailer who ignored my ‘instructions' and also backed the rag scored a 40 point plus over me. Gonna take me a long time to claw him back on that!

That's how it goes. You follow my lead but you can easily outscore me. Once you get the hang and you accept that nothing I say is an instruction to be obeyed. Just a pointer in a certain direction. I tend to lose those who want instructions to follow (and some do). That's by design really.

I like the fact that people think for themselves and I congratulate them when they beat my scores. I'm making what I want to make from LIM. And each to their own.

In the end, people start doing the form narrow each day and select their own LIM play. Usually takes about two years watching me and practising playing the markets. The good ones keep in touch and we share info and scores. Such is the BOZmail network.

Hope that helps.

Cheers

GAZ

p.s. By the way, Bally Longford was matched at 3.1 on Betfair. Someone got matched at that to small money. Probably a BOZmailer. It never went lower than that. The 3.35 I took saw lots of trades for a brief period of 20 minutes or so. Never came back down that low. You can access the full trades chart on Betfair and Betdaq by clicking the icon to the left of the horses name on every race.

Recommendation for Thursday:

0.35pt BACK on MAIRE BANRIGH (around 2.25 or better)

BLWM LIM strike rates:  LAYS: 209/316 = 66.13% :   BACKS: 56/211 = 26.54%

This month’s scores so far:

1st:   +0.245 (+0.245) Lay @ 2.5 

2nd:  -0.36   (-0.115) Lay @ 2.44

3rd:   +0.096 (-0.019) Lay @ 3.1 : Back @ 9.0

4th:   NON RUNNER

5th:   +0.144 (+0.125) Lay @ 2.0 : Backs @ 4.5 & 21.0

6th:   -0.081 (+0.044) Lays @ 2.2 & 5.6 : Back @ 6.0

7th:   +0.898 (+0.942) Lay @ 3.13 : Back @ 7.04

8th:    -0.526 (+0.418) Lay @ 2.88 : Back @ 4.1

9th:    -0.2275(+0.1905) Lay @ 1.91

10th:   +0.245 (+0.4355) Lay @3.35

11th    +0.047 (+0.4825) Lay @ 2.08 : Back @ 11.5

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WINTER NH HORSES TO FOLLOW for TRADING or LIM PURPOSES:

Unwin VC 

Kaizer 

Tea Clipper 

Nube Negra 

Black Op – Entered for Stayers Hurdle (Mar 12)

Verdana Blue – Entered for Champion Hurdle

Maire Banrigh 

Wenceslaus 

Flic Ou Voyou 

Thyme Hill 

Nordano 

Indian Opera

Lady Bowes 

Floressa 

Vinndication –Entered for Ascot (Dec 21) + King George & Gold Cup!

Lostintranslation – Entered for King George,Ryanair & Gold Cup

Cat Tiger 

Welsh Saint

Normandy Soldier – Entered for Hereford (Dec 14)

Ribble Valley 

Kid Commando 

Jatiluwih

Soaring Glory

Esprit Du Large

HORSE TO FOLLOW AT WARWICK on THURSDAY:

12-50 – WELSH SAINT @ 7/4 – 0.25pt BACK

Not much leeway in price for trading and is anyway a strongish tip second time after wind op with form behind Cat Tiger holding up ok. Straight back likely for me despite high number of runners and a few dark horses. Will take a good one to beat him.

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PLANS for the 2020 BOZmail:

The main development for next year is an annual subscription service only which will become available for purchase from December 1st 2019 and will be limited to first 150 purchasers. Membership will be closed when that number is reached or on January 31st 2020. Activity will begin on 1st February 2020.

The 2020 service will not be covering horseracing during January 2020 nor September 2020 as statistics have shown these to be negative months for LIM.

The 2020 BOZmail cycle will thus be a 10 month cycle completing on December 31st 2020.

The reason for annual subscription membership only is so that all members will be at same bank management level throughout. This enables The Boz to practice greater profit reinvestment in his staking levels (thus increasing overall profitability). Something that has not been possible in the 2019 cycle where new members were joining all the time and members were thus at varying bank levels throughout – leading The Boz to be more cautious in his staking levels than was ideal.

Membership of the 2020 BOZmail is recommended for those with some experience of how the service works (at least a month to six weeks)  although new members will be admitted up to the subscription closing date on January 31st 2020 if places are still available. First chance to purchase subscription however will be made to current members only. The service will only be advertised to non members after December 31st 2019 if some places are still available. The capping of numbers for the service is hopefully self explanatory to those who have experience of the service.

There will be some changes to content although the main focus will remain on the daily LIM service and the to follow trading advices in UK horse racing. Tennis coverage of the women’s Grand Slams will be limited to Wimbledon and the French Open only in 2020. There will be ad hoc accumulator advices throughout the cycle as they arise. The staggered acca approach practised in 2019 however will be discontinued. Simply hasn’t been as successful as hoped.

Never afraid to cull its dead wood is the BOZmail!

There are plans to introduce a paddock watching element to the service and to organise various days at the races during the year for those interested in advancing paddock watching skills and using these as an enhancement to their punting profitability generally. Details of these days will be available to BOZmail annual subscriber members only and will come at no extra charge (other than responsibility for paying own course entrance fee). The Boz is also publishing a guide to UK paddock watching in 2020 and will thus be in attendance at all UK racecourses at some point during the year collecting material for the book.

If you have any questions or queries about 2020 BOZmail annual membership at this stage, please feel free to contact The BOZ direct as always via email (garyboswell@hotmail.com). TGH Trading will be in touch in the coming weeks with personal invites to all current members to purchase first chance 2020 membership detailing cost etc. Opening date for purchasing 2020 membership will be December 1st 2019. First come,first served. 

With thanks to all who have supported the service in 2019 and here’s to a highly profitable and enjoyable 2020!

Cheers

THE BOZ

 Good Luck with your bets.

BOZ

THE BOZ’s 2019 XMAS RACING FABLE:

TRIPLE BARRELLED SURNAME MEN

Ashleigh Murtin-Sugar-Mardoch was one of the new breed of triple barrelled surname men who took the maiden names of his ‘conquered’ wives as his own.

He was also as rich as Creosus. One of those to whom money mattered. If you had none you were nobody. Or a nobody. No distinction made between the two. If you had some, or what is commonly called a middle income, you were an allowed member of the hoi-polloi. Only if you had amassed the sort of wealth defined as obscene – so great that you couldn’t possibly find anything to do with it all – were you actually somebody. Or more precisely in Ashleigh Mardoch-Sugar-Murtin’s case, a somebody. The distinction there was very important.

Like many rich people, Ashleigh Sugar-Mardoch-Murtin owned racehorses. He didn’t own the hoof or the tail of a horse like most people. Ashleigh Sugar-Mardoch-Murtin liked to own the whole horse. He also only owned one racehorse at a time despite being able to afford to own all the racehorses in existence. He considered it his greatest act of selflessness that he did not own all the racehorses in existence.

“ Let’s face it, be pretty boring if the only racehorses to beat were my own!! “

So Ashleigh Murtin-Mardoch-Sugar just owned the one racehorse. Not surprisingly, the best one. The one the rest of the racehorses couldn’t beat.

“ Let’s face it, be pretty pointless owning a racehorse that others could beat! “

He’d owned several ‘best horses in training’ during his time but this story centres around his most famous best horse and his current one – the Absolutely Unbeatable 

Magma – which wasn’t actually the horse’s name as Weatherby’s wouldn’t allow it much to Ashleigh’s disgust. “There are some things I’m afraid Misses Murtin-Sugar-Mardoch (as Wetherby’s liked to call Ashleigh) that money cannot buy.

The Absolutely Unbeatable Magma as the name of your horse is one of those things.

You can call him the five other names on your submitted list all of which are acceptable to us. “ Ashleigh buried his grimace and stifled his ire. Those wallahs at Weatherby’s would be laughing the other side of their faces before this story ends!

One of the ‘acceptable’ names was simply Magma but another was A-U- Magma and Ashleigh Murtin-Sugar-Mardoch was one of those breed of men who approved of hyphens in a name and so his greatest ever unbeatable racehorse was called the deliciously unforgettable A-U-Magma. And according to the script, in its bumpers,its juvenile hurdle career and its grade one chasing career, it never got beaten.  The Magma part of the name was appropriate too. Molten speed and stamina in horseflesh form. A-U-Magma was a beast of a horse endowed with the optimum mix. He ran races like Keith Moon played the drums. A neverending whirlwind pounding down the Turf at speeds that none could match. No need for jumping lessons. Impeccably timed leap from the hindquarters of Titan. Made your eyes sore to watch.

A horse that leaped like a stag.

Nineteen straight victories on the racecourse and pretty impossible for hoi polloi punters to get a bet on him right from the start. Ashleigh of course was the sort of punter who could get a decent bet on. Fifty Thousand to win one was ok when you knew you couldn’t get beat! “ Easiest thousand pounds I ever made “ Ashleigh liked to sneer at the bookmakers as he ritually counted his winnings down to the last pound coin to make sure he hadn’t been swindled. The bookmakers grinned through grinless teeth and prayed for the day that A-U-Magma would get beat. That day had to come soon they thought.

Ashleigh Murtin-Sugar-Mardoch however was ahead of that game. He had recently got a bit bored with winning all the time and not making enough profit from his betting so had been discussing with his trainer – the beautifully named Scruff Brott – how best to change this course of events. “ We could do with a good old fashioned betting sting Scruff, what do you suggest?” Scruff was a one man and his horse operation who did everything from breaking them in, to mucking out of a night, grooming,washing.feeding,schooling, right through to actually riding as a jockey in the races themselves. Scruff lived, ate and breathed horses and always had. He was brought up as an identical twin in the early days of the Siamese occupation and was Ashleigh’s favourite kind of trainer because he always had good ideas that Ashleigh could claim to the press as his own but he also always did what he was told. “ Knows which side his bread is buttered. “ as Ashleigh liked to put it. Ashleigh considered Scruff one of his loyal lieutenants and had employed him steadfastly throughout his time as a racehorse owner always sending the one horse owned to Scruff to ready and ride.

“ We could pretend not to start a race and give the others a furlong start. “ said Scruff

“ That might make the exchanges offer us at attractive odds in play. We’d soon make that furlong up and still win the race anyway. “

See what I mean? Scruff had good ideas! So they did that a couple of times and hoovered up the loot before the bookmakers got wise and went back to hollering “fifty to one on – even with the length of a football pitch start “ in the ring before A-U-Magma’s races.

“ What about we win the race so you get the satisfaction of knowing your horse is still best but I get us disqualified in the steward’s room for carrying the wrong weight or taking the wrong course. “

“ The bookmakers don’t pay out on a disqualified horse any more “ said Ashleigh thinking perhaps that Scruff had finally lost his marbles.

“ Of course not “ replied Scruff “ that’s why you and me both lay him on the exchanges

so that instead of winning a thousand for our fifty thousand, we win fifty thousand for our one. “

Asleigh Mardoch-Sugar- Murtin looked truly bewildered. “ You and Me lay him?” he uttered.

“ Well just you then. “ Scruff whimpered.

“Why have you never suggested that before? “ Ashliegh bellowed.

“ Thought you might not like losing the race. “ said Scruff “ They take your prize money off you as well. “

A moment’s silent calculation. “ We give up a few thousand to make fifty. Let’s do it. “

And so A-U- Magma started getting disqualified in the steward’s room. Firstly for carrying the wrong weight. Then for missing out a fence and taking the wrong course. Then Scruff even managed to get A-U-Magma to go down the side of a fence crashing through between it and a wing without either injuring the horse or falling off himself. Such was A-U-Magma’s force and the horsemanship of his jockey.

They also contrived together so that in the Haldon Cup at Exeter, A-U-Magma was twenty lengths clear and about to return back to the winner’s enclosure when suddenly, two yards from the finishing line, the horse suddenly bucked like a bronco and kicked Scruff out of the saddle crossing the line on his own. They’d rehearsed it to the inch on the gallops beforehand.

“ That “ said Ashleigh Mardoch-Sugar-Murtin “was a true work of art. Better than the Mona Lisa.”

To celebrate, he thought about buying himself a knighthood but Sir seemed a bit underwhelming so he plumped for a lordship instead. Lord Murtin-Sugar-Mardoch still didn’t seem quite right so he advertised for a fourth wife whose maiden name was Lord so he would become Lord Mardoch-Sugar-Murtin-Lord. 

“That’s a good idea “ said Scruff. But as it turned out, like all ideas that weren’t Scruff’s it was actually the beginning of Ashleigh’s downfall.Not that it seemed so at first. Criquette Lord was the French madame cum perfume magnate who replied to Ashleigh’s advert. They were married in the Spring and it was she that suggested that they win the King George on Boxing Day with A-U-Magma when the whole world and his wife would be betting on it getting disqualified again.

“ You could even tell them it is going to lose so they’ll all be able to take advantage and pay for their Christmasses with the money they get from laying it. “ said Criquette coquettishly.

“ Why would they believe me? “ asked Lord Lord as he had now become known – so infatuated was he with his new wife and her marvellous ideas. He actually knew the answer but he just wanted to hear his gorgeous L’Arc De Triomphe wife say it out loud in that outrageous French accent that she did so well. 

“ Let’s face it mon Sugar. You are so rich that everyone will believe every word that you say. Like they always have. With everyone laying Le Magma, we will get an outstanding price on the Unbeatable One. It will be a Christmas never to forget.”

“ Not for the hoi polloi “ thought Scruff. He just happened to have been in overhearing distance of the still-on- honeymoon lovers who had asked to eat honey on the moon as the trip they’d like to treat themselves to in celebration of their nuptials until they found out that it wouldn’t be expensive enough. They ended up on an around the world eight times cruise which Scruff also decided to enjoy whilst his owner wasn’t going racing. As you won’t be surprised to hear, Scruff was nearly as wealthy as Lord Ashleigh Lord and actually more wealthy than Criquette the perfume magnate but it was his turn now to start getting bored by it all. He’d never really had the same enjoyment since they started the disqualification malarkey. He’d made his millions alright from losing won races but he had to admit that his pride was a bit dented. He also thought A-U-Magma had cottoned on and had started understanding that they were deliberately losing. The horse had started turning the other way when Scruff entered the stables for mucking out and stamping his hooves when asked to quicken up on the gallops as a sort of protest at running his heart out only to get his victory snatched away.

A-U-Magma wasn’t one to whom money mattered all that much. And after his fourth time round the globe, Scruff found he’d had enough of it too and had been delighted to hear of the plan to win the King George. Not so keen that it had been Criquette’s idea however and that was perhaps what also lead to a feeling he didn’t recognise at first. A sort of queasy stomach churn of a feeling as he was walking through Soho one day on a shopping spree and seeing all the tents and mudhuts that had sprung up on the Ringway. Little lines of washed underpants strung from the branches of straggly pine trees and kids running around in bare feet and with muddy faces from playing in the December dirt. 

“ Some Christmas they are gonna get. Especially when their Moms and Dads lay us on the exchanges to pay for their Santa’s treats. “

Scruff didn’t really acknowledge it but the queasy tummy continued until he realised it for what it was. A pang. And at that point he decided on his new good idea that he wasn’t going to tell the Lord about. 

And so Boxing Day and the running of the King George arrived. Scruff had been busy training A-U-Magma up to his racing peak as Lord Lord and his new cleverclogs wife had asked him to in private whilst advertising to social media and the world that his horse was suffering a bout of lost confidence following all the ‘accidental’ disqualifications and despite his former status as the Absolutely Unbeatable one, the betting public should brace themselves for the possibility that the horse might not win again. 

“ The horse’s old winning ways must now be taken on trust “ lied Lord Lord in such a way as to nod and  wink that previous losses had not been wholly accidental and that the public should trust him once more to create a situation that they, the betting public could profit from. The bookmakers did not trust it at first being the sort at whom such lies were not necessarily aimed but the money for A-U-Magma to lose started snowballing yet further so that ‘the market’ could not but respond and push the 50 to one on favourite as far as fifteen to one on. Then even money. Then to the gigantically enormous five to one against at which Lord Lord and his cleverclogs wife started betting. They sent the money on via anonymous agents but bookmakers  started to suspect the plot but still could do nothing to stem the flow of public money going on the Unbeatable one finding a ‘way’ to lose again.

“ We are only going to be able to do this once. “ said Lord Lord as he started to think about how the public would react to the loss of their Christmasses at the victory of his unbeatable horse. “ they’ll never trust me again. “ 

“ No matter. “ soothed Criquette “ You will perhaps be able to go into a political career instead. But I agree. We should lump as much on the Unbeatable one to win as we can get. If you are sure he will win that is. “

Lord Lord knew nothing of Scruff’s pang and repeated his instructions to his trainer that today they would win fair and square and that there were to be no grounds for disqualification. He knew his trainer always did as he was told (and also profited himself from their betting scams) and saw nothing to suggest anything would be different this time.

“ You have the correct weight cloth ? “

“ Check.”

“ You know exactly the right course to take? “

“Check.”

“ there’s been no filling the horse’s belly with water to make him run slower? “

“We never used that one if you remember. “ said Scruff “ We both agreed he would still win anyway even if we did. “ 

“Ah yes. “ said Lord Lord confident that his millions were wisely invested and giving not one jot about the Christmas carnage he was about to create for the public around the country. Only the extra fortune that he and Lady Lord (as she was now known) were about to make mattered to him.

They were all three stood in the paddock at Kempton awaiting the mounting of the horses so that the big race could begin. Scruff excused himself briefly stating the need for a bathroom break but as Lord Lord looked momentarily disquieted by the news, Scruff reappeared in the paddock in record time nodding that he was fine and looking forward to the race.

A-U-Magma jumped like a stag and pounded the opposition into the ground. He won pulling a cart by over 30 lengths. Lord and Lady Lord had left the course not wanting to be there to witness when the Steward’s enquiry bell that the huge public crowd was expecting did not ring. A-U-Magma and his jockey had indeed not breached a single rule and had had a faultless trip round never even near to another horse who he may have interfered with ‘the winning chance of’ or ‘stopped in the run’.

A-U-Magmas’s jockey dismounted and went into the changing rooms to weigh in. The first fidgets of disquiet were witnessed in the public as no stewards bell clanged and the owners Lord and Lady Lord were noticed as absent. The first inklings of the catastrophe were sowing seed in the brains of the hoi polloi who saw the price of the winner chalked up at five to one against and winced. Had they really laid to lose even at that price? The bookmakers in the ring were starting to smile. It was not a great result for them that there was to be no disqualification but by same token, they were not going to have to pay out to the millions. Most would be turning a profit if not quite the profit they knew would be finding its way back to the Lord and his new lady. Just as the horror was about to dawn on the world of racing’s punters, it came.

DING DONG. STEWARD’S INQUIRY. STEWARD’S INQUIRY.

The crowd understandably cheered. Ecstatically. 

Lord and Lady Lord watching a television screen in a remote hotel room furrowed brows but were still confident it was just a routine inquiry. There had been absolutely nothing to disqualify their horse. They had watched with their own eyes. Scruff had ridden an exemplary race and they’d seen him carry what they knew would be the correct weight cloths into the weighing room. Seen him with their own eyes. There had been no taking a wrong course of that Lord Lord was sure. And yet there was no announcement of ‘Result stands Result stands’ as he was expecting. The entire betting public which seemed like the whole world held their collective breath. The longer an enquiry went on, the greater the chance of a disqualification. Of course the whole inquiry could be ‘not concerning the winner’.

Lord Lord was starting to cling to that hope as the time breasted ten minutes and past a quarter of an hour.

Scruff came out of the bathroom that he had gone into from the paddock just as the announcement came through.

‘ The winner has been disqualified on the grounds of being ridden by an undeclared jockey.’

Scruff went over to put a consoling arm around the shoulder of his identical twin brother.

“ Thanks for flying in from Siam ready to stand in for me if I was taken ill.” winked Scruff “ that pang really did make me feel sick. “

The brothers laughed and before rushing hurriedly off to catch the first aeroplane to nowhere, turned to the celebrating mass of hoi polloi who were busy singing praises and thanking Lord and Lady Lord for the nod and a wink that had the bookies now weeping into their satchels.

“ Merry Christmas everyone “ shouted Scruff with a smile as broad as his heart. He went off feeling like any trainer should who had just trained the winner of the King George and repeated his chant to the crowd.

“ Have a Merry Christmas one and all. “ 

The story ends not quite here. Lord Lord was banned from the racecourse and from ever being an owner of racehorses again when it was decided that the repeated Disqualifications of the Absolutely Unbeatable Magma were implausible as co-incidences and indeed an orchestrated attempt to defraud the betting public.

The Lord did however manage to get the wallahs at Weatherbys laughing on the other side of their faces when as a thank you for his perceived Christmas benevolence, the hoi polloi voted unanimously for the stripped Lord Ashley Murtin-Sugar-Mardoch (now divorced from Lady Lord) as their new Prime Minister. They heard what the racing authorities had to say about the disqualifications but decided the way they had been tipped the wink in the King George to make their Christmas such a success needed rewarding. Triple barrelled surname men it seems are their kind of man.

Merry Christmas one and all.

© Gary Boswell 2019

The BOZmail golden rules:

1/ Try to look where others do not.

2/ Make sure your selections are as good as you can get them(the boz’s job here)

3/ Get your staking right (up when confident – down when less so or when managing bank)

4/ Do all in your power to get best price available(whether that be using price comparison sites or using partial staking techniques on the exchanges when unsure which way a price might go. Be careful not to take exchange ‘silly prices’ if you are going in early on a lay price or if a specified low lay tissue price goes on a significant drift. Always check bookmaker tissue prices first to get a guide on what to expect from the market if it is not yet properly formed on the exchanges. As from March 2019 onwards, advised not to take BETFAIR SP prices on lays following some adverse returns therein over the January/February period. The recommendation is always to secure a price (if possible) within the published parameters when actually placing the lay bet. Your discretion based on personal form study also encouraged to ensure you maximise returns.The staking advices are a general rather than rigid dictate – mainly for the less experienced and those not able to spend time watching markets develop and practising the optimum betting time skill.

5/ Always keep in mind the long term ‘importance of  breaking even’ philosophy and practice. This is very much used by The Boz in his staking advices and is recommended in your betting practices – especially during the down spells – in order to maintain a healthy and consistent bank.

6/ Always remember the BOZ does traditionally suffer from Murphys Law. If he expresses his opinion but states that he won’t be betting on it himself and isn’t making it an official tip, remember that historically these can be his best advices! The 2019 Grand National opinion expressed paid a £2,260-93 tricast for a £60 (£1×60) permed stake (five selections). 

7/ Never accept an overall loss. This has been the BOZ’s mantra for 22 years. The year the BOZmail posts an overall loss is the year he packs in.

“I play cautiously and strategically with bank management always in mind.”  Boz 

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